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Asm. Andrea Bailey
District 133
Republican
First elected 2025
Andrea Bailey represents AD-133, a heavily Republican district rated R+19 by voter registration, where Republicans hold 43.0% of registrations against 24.4% Democrat and 26.5% Independent. Bailey won her first election in 2024 with 65.0% of the vote against Colleen Walsh-Williams (35.0%), a 30.0-point margin, and the district is rated Safe R across all modeled 2026 scenarios including a favorable Democratic environment shift. The district is demographically homogeneous — 90.3% white with 78.8% homeownership, a median household income of $78,123, and a poverty rate of 9.5% — consistent with a rural or suburban upstate New York character. In her first session, Bailey sponsored 316 bills, with Insurance (69 bills) as the dominant focus area, followed by Executive (25), Criminal Procedure (16), Education (15), Correction (14), and Public Health (14); her 63 joint hearing engagements indicate active committee participation, though no chairmanship is noted in this brief.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-133
Base lean: R+29
Favorable D
Neutral
Favorable R
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+29). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-133
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Andrea K. Bailey 65.0% (44,991) | Colleen Walsh-Williams 35.0% (24,195) | 30.0pts |
| 2022 | Marjorie L. Byrnes 67.5% (36,589) | Sara M. Spezzano 32.5% (17,618) | 35.0pts |
| 2020 | Marjorie L. Byrnes 61.8% (41,760) | ChaRon K. Sattler-Leblanc 38.2% (25,830) | 23.6pts |
| 2018 | Marjorie L. Byrnes 54.5% (29,687) | Barbara A. Baer 42.8% (23,340) | 11.7pts |
| 2016 | Joe Errigo 56.6% (34,420) | Barbara A. Baer 43.4% (26,353) | 13.2pts |
| 2014 | Bill Nojay 100.0% (31,802) | Uncontested | — |
| 2012 | Bill Nojay 51.3% (28,556) | Randolph J. Weaver 38.0% (21,165) | 13.3pts |
| 2010 | David F. Gantt 100.0% (14,972) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | David F. Gantt 100.0% (29,622) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | David F. Gantt 76.4% (14,791) | Carlos Q. Coker 23.6% (4,563) | 52.8pts |
| 2004 | David F. Gantt 100.0% (22,050) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | David F. Gantt 81.7% (14,872) | Mark J. McCabe 9.3% (1,690) | 72.4pts |
| 2000 | David F. Gantt 72.1% (20,274) | Stephen Tucciarello 26.1% (7,330) | 46.0pts |
| 1998 | David F. Gantt 87.5% (15,744) | Judith А. Sinclair 12.5% (2,254) | 75.0pts |
| 1996 | David F. Gantt 74.5% (21,545) | AJ Sweney 23.6% (6,820) | 50.9pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 (Republican) | Marjorie L. Byrnes 61.9% (3,709) | Joe Errigo 38.1% (2,282) | 23.8pts |
| 2016 (Republican) | Bill Nojay 61.0% (2,848) | Richard B. Milne 39.0% (1,820) | 22.0pts |
| 2012 (Republican) | Bill Nojay 57.2% (3,555) | Richard E. Burke 42.8% (2,657) | 14.4pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 133 Profile
Population
135,429
Median income
$78,123
Median rent
$1,000
Homeownership
78.8%
Education (BA+)
33.8%
Poverty rate
9.5%
Uninsured rate
3.8%
Unemployment rate
4.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
White
90.3%
Black
1.5%
Hispanic
4.3%
Asian
1.3%
Median age
42.9
Foreign born
3.6%
Limited English households
0.6%
Veterans
7.3%
Disability rate
13.8%
Commute Mode
Drive alone
74.8%
Public transit
0.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bills sponsored
316
Joint hearing appearances
63
Floor debate appearances
10
Years in office
1
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
A07607
2026-04-20
Farmland for a New Generation Program
Asm. Bailey moved to discharge A07607 from the Agriculture Committee, seeking to put the Farmland for a New Generation Program into statute to ensure consistent annual funding. Bailey cited a farming crisis: New York lost 500 farms and 100,000 acres of farmland in 2024-2025 alone, with 35 percent of the state's farmers over 65 and 25 percent nearing retirement age. She warned that without statutory authority ensuring year-to-year funding, two million additional acres of farmland face loss. Bailey argued the program is critical for succession planning and helping younger farmers enter the industry. The motion to discharge was made but no vote was recorded in this transcript segment. Asm. Tague raised a procedural objection, questioning whether questions could be asked during a Motion to Discharge proceeding.
A07607
2026-04-20
Farmland for a New Generation Program
Mrs. Bailey moved to discharge A07607, the Farmland for a New Generation Program, from the Agriculture Committee for immediate consideration. The bill would codify the program into statute to ensure consistent annual funding. Bailey cited a farming crisis, noting New York lost 500 farms and 100,000 acres of farmland in 2024-2025 alone, with 80 percent of losses from small farms. She emphasized that 35 percent of New York's farmers are over 65, with 25 percent nearing retirement, putting two million additional acres at risk without the program's continuation. Bailey argued that putting the program into statute would provide the long-term certainty needed for succession planning and to encourage younger farmers to enter the industry. The motion was in order, but the transcript ends before a vote was taken. Asm. Tague raised a procedural question about whether questions could be asked during a Motion to Discharge proceeding.
A09493 / S[NUMBER NOT STATED]
PASSED
2026-02-03
An act to amend the Criminal Procedure Law, in relation to the method of notifying certain crime victims of the disposition of criminal trial
The Assembly passed legislation (A09493) sponsored by Asm. Romero that modifies how crime victims are notified of criminal case dispositions. The bill removes the requirement that written disposition notices be mailed and instead allows prosecutors to provide them through reasonable and secure means, including electronically. Sponsor Romero argued the change ensures victims receive plain-language summaries explaining case outcomes rather than jargon-filled Certificates of Disposition. However, Asm. Molitor raised concerns that the bill lacks specificity about what constitutes an adequate written summary, potentially allowing different District Attorney offices to apply it inconsistently and permitting minimal information to satisfy requirements. Asm. Bailey opposed the measure, arguing it creates room for error by allowing flexibility in what information is included and noting that informal summaries may not be filed in official case records. The Majority Conference voted in favor while the Minority Conference generally opposed it, though individual members could vote contrary to their conference position. Asm. Lavine spoke in favor, noting that modern Certificates of Disposition are costly and difficult for average citizens to understand.
A02043 / S____
PASSED
2025-06-04
An act to amend the Tax Law, in relation to authorizing the County of Livingston to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax
The Assembly passed A02043, sponsored by Assemblymember Bailey, authorizing Livingston County to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax. The bill, which had a Senate companion, was advanced with a Home Rule Message at the desk. Acting Speaker Taylor acknowledged Bailey's passage of her first bill with applause from the chamber.
A02043 / S____
PASSED
2025-06-04
An act to amend the Tax Law, in relation to authorizing the County of Livingston to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax
Assemblywoman Bailey's first bill passed the Assembly on Wednesday. The measure authorizes Livingston County to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax. The Acting Speaker acknowledged Bailey's legislative milestone with applause from the chamber.
A02043 / S____
PASSED
2025-06-04
An act to amend the Tax Law, in relation to authorizing the County of Livingston to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax
Assemblywoman Bailey's first bill passed the Assembly on Wednesday. The measure authorizes Livingston County to impose an additional 1 percent sales tax. The Acting Speaker acknowledged Bailey's legislative milestone with applause from the chamber.
A00057-B
PASSED
2025-05-28
Consumer Debt Uniformity Act — amends Civil Practice Law and Rules and related statutes to redefine consumer credit transaction to consumer debt and unify statute of limitations and court rules
The Assembly passed the Consumer Debt Uniformity Act (A00057-B), sponsored by Assemblyman Epstein, which unifies New York's fragmented consumer debt statutes and procedures across credit card, medical, and service-based debts. The bill amends the Civil Practice Law and Rules and related court statutes to create a single three-year statute of limitations and uniform pleading requirements for all consumer debt litigation. Epstein argued the measure simplifies the court system and protects consumers through consistent notice and bilingual information requirements. However, Assemblywoman Walsh and the New York State Creditors Bar Association opposed the bill, warning it would burden small service businesses—plumbers, carpenters, lawn care providers—with new filing fees (increasing from $45 to $130, a 189 percent jump) and procedural requirements that could force them to hire lawyers or abandon collection efforts. Ms. Bailey raised implementation concerns about recalculating interest rates on existing judgments. The Minority Conference voted against the bill; the Majority voted in favor. The bill passed with some members voting in the negative.
A07617
PASSED
2025-05-05
An act to amend the Public Health Law, in relation to removing the prohibitions on patient participation in multiple transplant programs in New York State
The Assembly passed legislation removing prohibitions on patients participating in multiple transplant programs in New York State. Sponsored by Assemblywoman Peoples-Stokes and 18 co-sponsors, the bill addresses a critical gap in access to organ transplants for Medicaid patients, who under current law can only apply to one program and be on one wait list. Peoples-Stokes noted that approximately 8,000 New Yorkers are currently on transplant wait lists, with roughly 400 expected to die before receiving a transplant. The measure was championed by Dr. Kayler, a transplant surgeon at Erie County Medical Center, and supported by Donate Life New York. The bill allows patients to remove themselves from dependence on dialysis machines by expanding their opportunities to access kidney transplants across multiple programs.
A00437 / S6649
PASSED
2025-03-19
Chapter amendment to Penal Law relating to warnings regarding rifles and shotguns to be posted and provided by firearms dealers; technical corrections to prior year legislation
The Assembly passed a chapter amendment to firearms dealer warning requirements on March 19, sponsored by Asm. Dinowitz. The bill makes technical changes to prior-year legislation requiring firearms dealers and licensing officials to post and distribute warnings about firearm risks, particularly suicide, citing 24,000 national suicide deaths in 2020. The amendment changes terminology from "weapon" to "rifle, shotgun or firearm" for clarity. Opponents criticized the bill as unnecessary federal regulation already covers the issue, questioned whether warning signs would prevent suicides, and noted that penalties for non-compliance apply only to dealers, not licensing officials. Asm. Bailey calculated the requirement would necessitate distribution of over 500,000 pieces of paper annually, creating an unfunded mandate on local governments and businesses. The Majority Conference voted generally in favor with some exceptions; the Minority Conference opposed the measure.
S02193 / A00129
2023-06-21
An act to amend the Criminal Procedure Law, in relation to requiring accurate interpretation of statements made by deponents with limited English proficiency in accusatory instruments and supporting depositions
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
bills
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bills
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bills
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.