Asm. Patrick Burke
Patrick Burke represents AD-142, a D+21 district in western New York with a voter registration breakdown of 45.2% Democrat, 24.4% Republican, and 23.9% Independent, yet he has faced competitive general elections in every cycle since winning the seat in 2018. His 2024 re-election margin of just 1.4 points — the narrowest of his tenure — stands in sharp contrast to the district's partisan lean, and scenario modeling rates the seat as only Lean D in a favorable Republican environment, making Burke one of the more electorally exposed Democrats holding a nominally safe district. The district itself is predominantly white (84.3%), majority homeowner (66.7%), with a median household income of $70,385 and a poverty rate of 14.1%, reflecting a working- and middle-class suburban character. In the 2025 session Burke sponsored 45 bills, with primary focus areas including New York City, Retirement, Criminal Procedure, Tax, and Environmental Conservation; his top lobbying sectors are not specified in the available data.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-142
Base lean: D+12
- Won last contested race by only 1.4 points
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+12). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-142
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Patrick B. Burke 50.7% (29,192) | Marc D. Priore 49.3% (28,375) | ⚡ 1.4pts |
| 2022 | Patrick B. Burke 53.1% (24,163) | Sandra J. Magnano 46.9% (21,373) | ⚡ 6.2pts |
| 2020 | Patrick B. Burke 56.1% (36,758) | Matthew S. Szalkowski 43.9% (28,798) | 12.2pts |
| 2018 | Patrick B. Burke 51.9% (25,195) | Erik T. Bohen 45.4% (22,061) | ⚡ 6.5pts |
| 2016 | Michael P. Kearns 100.0% (55,547) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Michael P. Kearns 100.0% (32,449) | Uncontested | — |
| 2012 | Michael P. Kearns 100.0% (52,415) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Jane L. Corwin 100.0% (37,669) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Jane L. Corwin 88.8% (32,293) | Jeffrey A. Bono, III 11.2% (4,084) | 77.6pts |
| 2006 | Michael W. Cole 55.7% (25,035) | Laura Monte 44.3% (19,917) | 11.4pts |
| 2004 | Sandra Lee Wirth 66.2% (37,009) | Jeffrey A. Bono, III 31.0% (17,345) | 35.2pts |
| 2002 | Sandra Lee Wirth 94.5% (28,584) | Joseph R. DeMare 5.5% (1,676) | 89.0pts |
| 2000 | James P. Hayes 53.6% (29,050) | Daniel J. Ward 46.4% (25,158) | ⚡ 7.2pts |
| 1998 | James P. Hayes 52.6% (23,028) | Susan Y. Peimer 47.4% (20,763) | ⚡ 5.2pts |
| 1996 | Richard R. Anderson 52.1% (27,644) | Susan Y. Peimer 47.9% (25,404) | ⚡ 4.2pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (Independence) | Patrick B. Burke 53.2% (520) | Matthew S. Szalkowski 46.8% (458) | ⚡ 6.4pts |
| 2020 (Working Families) | Patrick B. Burke 80.7% (46) | Madison L. Klimowicz 19.3% (11) | 61.4pts |
| 2018 (Republican) | Erik T. Bohen 57.1% (1,454) | Timothy C. Nolan 42.9% (1,092) | 14.2pts |
| 2018 (Conservative) | Erik T. Bohen 75.5% (250) | Thomas J. Mescall Jr. 24.5% (81) | 51.0pts |
| 2018 (Independence) | Michelle M. Kennedy 52.2% (213) | Erik T. Bohen 47.8% (195) | ⚡ 4.4pts |
| 2008 (Republican) | Jane L. Corwin 45.2% (3,951) | Michael W. Cole 35.0% (3,063) | 10.2pts |
| 2006 (Independence) | Michael W. Cole 61.3% (322) | Laura Monte 38.7% (203) | 22.6pts |
Special Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Erik T. Bohen 51.7% (6,078) | Patrick B. Burke 48.3% (5,683) | ⚡ 3.4pts |
| 2006 | Michael W. Cole 69.1% (5,915) | Jeffrey A. Bono, III 30.9% (2,650) | 38.2pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 142 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.