Asm. Noah Burroughs
Noah Burroughs represents AD-18, a heavily Democratic district with a D+50 registration lean and 61.6% Democratic enrollment, where Republicans account for just 11.4% of registered voters. He won his first election in 2024 with 82.1% of the vote against Danielle Samantha Smikle, a margin of 64.2 points, continuing a pattern of Democratic dominance in the district stretching back over a decade; the 2026 outlook rates the seat Safe D across all modeled environments. The district is majority-minority, with 44.6% Black and 43.5% Hispanic residents, a median household income of $108,831, a 61.9% homeownership rate, and a poverty rate of 10.8%. In his first legislative session, Burroughs sponsored 21 bills, with the largest concentration in Real Property Taxation (4 bills), and additional sponsorships spanning Education, Highway, Vehicle and Traffic, and Executive law areas.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-18
Base lean: D+59
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+59). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-18
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Noah Burroughs 82.1% (33,418) | Danielle Samantha Smikle 17.9% (7,274) | 64.2pts |
| 2022 | Taylor R. Darling 84.8% (20,732) | LaMont E. Johnson 15.2% (3,703) | 69.6pts |
| 2020 | Taylor R. Darling 84.6% (36,878) | Cherice P. Vanderhall 15.4% (6,695) | 69.2pts |
| 2018 | Taylor R. Raynor 90.1% (29,989) | James Lamarre 9.9% (3,281) | 80.2pts |
| 2016 | Earlene Hooper 88.0% (37,011) | Cornelius Todd Smith 12.0% (5,030) | 76.0pts |
| 2014 | Earlene Hooper 84.1% (17,030) | Cornelius Todd Smith 15.9% (3,220) | 68.2pts |
| 2012 | Earlene Hooper 90.2% (35,571) | Elton E. McCabe 9.8% (3,848) | 80.4pts |
| 2010 | Earlene Hooper 83.0% (20,666) | Derek L. Partee 17.0% (4,220) | 66.0pts |
| 2008 | Earlene Hooper 85.1% (31,629) | Darren R. Bryant 12.2% (4,538) | 72.9pts |
| 2006 | Earlene Hooper 82.2% (16,587) | J. Barrington Jackson 17.8% (3,580) | 64.4pts |
| 2004 | Earlene Hooper 81.0% (27,678) | Max Rodriguez 19.0% (6,503) | 62.0pts |
| 2002 | Earlene Hooper 76.7% (16,842) | Raymond R. Rhoden 23.3% (5,114) | 53.4pts |
| 2000 | Earlene Hill Hooper 79.6% (25,297) | Raymond R. Rhoden 20.4% (6,471) | 59.2pts |
| 1998 | Earlene Hooper Hill 71.9% (16,597) | Michael G. Abrahams 26.5% (6,115) | 45.4pts |
| 1996 | Earlene Hooper Hill 76.1% (22,410) | Gregory D. Abram 21.5% (6,339) | 54.6pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 (Democratic) | Taylor R. Raynor 53.5% (6,345) | Earlene Hooper 46.5% (5,523) | ⚡ 7.0pts |
| 2016 (Democratic) | Earlene Hooper 60.0% (2,271) | Carmen J. Pineyro 40.0% (1,513) | 20.0pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 18 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.