Asm. Patrick J. Carroll
Patrick J. Carroll represents AD-96, a D+24 district in New York State where Democrats hold a 45.6% to 22.0% registration advantage over Republicans, with 27.0% enrolled as Independents. First elected in 2023, Carroll won his 2024 general election against Ronald D. Diz by a margin of 17.8 points (58.9% to 41.1%), and the district is rated Safe D across all modeled 2026 electoral scenarios, including a favorable Republican environment. The district is demographically diverse — 49.3% white, 30.2% Hispanic, 12.0% Black, and 9.2% Asian — with a median household income of $122,557, a 73.2% homeownership rate, and a 49.0% bachelor's degree attainment rate, reflecting a high-income suburban character. In the 2025 session, Carroll sponsored 71 bills with the heaviest concentration in Real Property Tax (9 bills), Retirement (6 bills), and Executive and Tax law (5 bills each).AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support AI
No recorded floor speeches in support found in our transcript archive for this member.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-96
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Patrick Carroll 58.9% (36,433) | Ronald D. Diz 41.1% (25,458) | 17.8pts |
| 2022 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 58.5% (26,222) | Brett L. Yagel 41.5% (18,640) | 17.0pts |
| 2020 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 100.0% (45,439) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 100.0% (35,822) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 100.0% (42,110) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 65.1% (20,534) | Matthew I. Brennan 34.9% (11,026) | 30.2pts |
| 2012 | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 100.0% (41,526) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Nancy Calhoun 50.7% (19,476) | Roxanne L. Donnery 49.3% (18,935) | ⚡ 1.4pts |
| 2008 | Nancy Calhoun 53.4% (29,477) | Richard Randazzo 46.6% (25,674) | ⚡ 6.8pts |
| 2006 | Nancy Calhoun 52.7% (18,942) | Richard Randazzo 47.3% (17,033) | ⚡ 5.4pts |
| 2004 | Nancy Calhoun 59.5% (31,575) | Dennis D. Tracey 40.5% (21,523) | 19.0pts |
| 2002 | Nancy Calhoun 69.9% (22,889) | Roxanne Donnery 28.7% (9,414) | 41.2pts |
| 2000 | Thomas J. Kirwan 57.0% (22,119) | Lee Kyriacou 43.0% (16,716) | 14.0pts |
| 1998 | Thomas J. Kirwan 60.9% (17,360) | Judith А. Green 39.1% (11,123) | 21.8pts |
| 1996 | Thomas J. Kirwan 50.2% (18,880) | Nancy Cozean 47.6% (17,889) | ⚡ 2.6pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 (Democratic) | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 75.4% (4,082) | Pottakulathu T. Thomas 24.6% (1,329) | 50.8pts |
| 2014 (Working Families) | Kenneth P. Zebrowski 81.1% (60) | Otb 18.9% (14) | 62.2pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-96
Base lean: D+22
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+22). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 6/18/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 96 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.