Asm. Robert C. Carroll
Robert C. Carroll has represented AD-44 since 2017 in one of the most heavily Democratic districts in New York State, carrying a D+69 registration lean and winning his 2024 general election by a margin of 70.6 points against John L. Bennett; the district is rated Safe D under all modeled electoral environments, and no competitive election has occurred in the seat across a decade of recorded results. AD-44 is a majority-renter, highly educated urban district with a median household income of $128,641, 65.1% of residents holding a bachelor's degree or higher, a homeownership rate of 37.5%, and a racially diverse population that is 55.7% white, 17.2% Asian, 15.3% Hispanic, and 8.0% Black, with Democrats holding 75.2% of voter registrations against 6.4% Republican. Carroll sponsored 114 bills in the 2025 session, with the largest concentrations in Election law (22 bills), Education (17 bills), and Public Authorities (12 bills), followed by Tax (9 bills) and Real Property Tax (7 bills). No committee chairmanship is listed in this brief, and no lobbying sector overlap data is available for inclusion.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support AI
No recorded floor speeches in support found in our transcript archive for this member.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-44
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Robert C. Carroll 85.3% (47,081) | John L. Bennett 14.7% (8,087) | 70.6pts |
| 2022 | Robert C. Carroll 86.1% (37,337) | Brenda L. Horton 13.3% (5,766) | 72.8pts |
| 2020 | Robert C. Carroll 79.3% (37,457) | Salvatore P. Barrera 20.7% (9,804) | 58.6pts |
| 2018 | Robert C. Carroll 85.9% (29,902) | Yevgeny G. Goldberg 14.1% (4,890) | 71.8pts |
| 2016 | Robert C. Carroll 85.5% (34,779) | Glenn Nocera 14.5% (5,921) | 71.0pts |
| 2014 | James F. Brennan 85.2% (15,177) | Mike Yusupov 14.8% (2,628) | 70.4pts |
| 2012 | James F. Brennan 84.0% (28,344) | Catherine Fox 16.0% (5,389) | 68.0pts |
| 2010 | James F. Brennan 79.9% (16,423) | Alfred Caccamo 20.1% (4,124) | 59.8pts |
| 2008 | James F. Brennan 84.3% (26,490) | Yvette Velazquez Bennett 15.7% (4,919) | 68.6pts |
| 2006 | James F. Brennan 86.0% (16,169) | Yvette Valezquez Bennett 14.0% (2,635) | 72.0pts |
| 2004 | James F. Brennan 91.7% (23,382) | Lawrence Littlefield 4.2% (1,061) | 87.5pts |
| 2002 | James F. Brennan 80.7% (13,018) | Luke Vander Linden 19.3% (3,113) | 61.4pts |
| 2000 | James F. Brennan 83.9% (26,991) | Michael A. Sanchez 11.9% (3,831) | 72.0pts |
| 1998 | James F. Brennan 84.1% (18,359) | Maureen O'Dea 15.9% (3,477) | 68.2pts |
| 1996 | James F. Brennan 84.4% (20,844) | Evan Mc Neeley 15.6% (3,854) | 68.8pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Democratic) | Robert C. Carroll 90.0% (6,031) | R. M. Curry-Smithson 5.5% (369) | 84.5pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-44
Base lean: D+77
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+77). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 6/18/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 44 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.