Asm. Michael Cashman
AD-115 represents one of the most closely contested seats in the chamber: Michael Cashman, a Democrat first elected in 2025, won his initial race by just 4.6 points over Republican Brent M. Davison (52.3% to 47.7%), and the district carries a base lean of only D+9 with a vulnerability rating that slides to Lean D under a favorable Republican environment. The district is nearly perfectly split by registration — 33.6% Democrat, 33.0% Republican, and 26.7% Independent — and is a predominantly white (87.4%), rural-to-suburban North Country district with a 70.5% homeownership rate, a median household income of $69,819, and a poverty rate of 14.7%. Cashman has sponsored 63 bills in the 2025 session, with his heaviest focus in Executive law (6 bills), Education (5 bills), and Tax law (5 bills), alongside notable activity in Civil Service and Vehicle and Traffic law (4 bills each). No committee chairmanship is indicated in the available data, and no lobbying sector or committee overlap information was provided in this brief.AI
Topic Focus AI
No floor debate appearances found in our transcript archive for this member. Topic extraction requires at least one recorded speech.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (12) AI
Highlighted that rural America faces healthcare challenges and pharmacists are central to community care from newborns to seniors; the bill protects small businesses and communities.
Represents Adirondack communities affected by salt contamination and emphasizes water protection as a moral responsibility. Notes highway superintendents are already conscious of budgets and working with Cornell Cooperative Highway School on best practices.
Sponsor Cashman explained the bill as a parity measure providing arbitration opportunities for qualified road patrol deputy sheriffs, bringing them to the same level as comparable police units. Assemblymember Durso confirmed the bill creates parity among deputy sheriffs statewide without creating new rights beyond what other law enforcement entities have, and does not diminish sheriffs' constitutional authority.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-115
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michael S. Cashman 52.3% (19,797) | Brent M. Davison 47.7% (18,043) | ⚡ 4.6pts |
| 2024 | D. Billy Jones 71.4% (44,871) | Blank Enrollment 28.6% (17,996) | 42.8pts |
| 2022 | D. Billy Jones 62.9% (30,375) | Stephen H. Chilton, III 37.1% (17,931) | 25.8pts |
| 2020 | D. Billy Jones 100.0% (43,090) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | D. Billy Jones 100.0% (31,958) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | D. Billy Jones 52.8% (25,972) | Kevin A. Mulverhill 47.2% (23,253) | ⚡ 5.6pts |
| 2014 | Janet L. Duprey 65.3% (18,813) | Karen M. Bisso 34.7% (9,977) | 30.6pts |
| 2012 | Janet L. Duprey 53.0% (24,286) | Timothy R. Carpenter 26.1% (11,971) | 26.9pts |
| 2010 | Claudia Tenney 100.0% (30,981) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 87.6% (33,383) | Daniel L. LeClair 12.4% (4,710) | 75.2pts |
| 2006 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 67.7% (27,233) | David J. Gordon 32.3% (12,986) | 35.4pts |
| 2004 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 68.0% (34,779) | David J. Gordon 32.0% (16,359) | 36.0pts |
| 2002 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 59.4% (21,478) | Ryan A. Nobles 37.6% (13,608) | 21.8pts |
| 2000 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 100.0% (38,080) | Uncontested | — |
| 1998 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 100.0% (31,645) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 | David R. Townsend, Jr. 63.5% (28,919) | Stephen E. Schiavi 36.5% (16,621) | 27.0pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 (Republican) | Janet L. Duprey 53.1% (1,896) | Karen M. Bisso 46.9% (1,676) | ⚡ 6.2pts |
| 2012 (Republican) | Janet L. Duprey 49.5% (1,584) | Karen M. Bisso 30.4% (972) | 19.1pts |
| 2010 (Republican) | Claudia Tenney 56.1% (1,371) | George E. Joseph 43.9% (1,072) | 12.2pts |
| 2006 (Democratic) | David J. Gordon 54.8% (1,443) | Michael W. Boncella 45.2% (1,190) | ⚡ 9.6pts |
| 2002 (Republican) | David R. Townsend, Jr. 61.5% (5,536) | Daniel W. Yerdon 38.5% (3,468) | 23.0pts |
| 2002 (Conservative) | David R. Townsend, Jr. 50.8% (100) | Daniel W. Yerdon 49.2% (97) | ⚡ 1.6pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-115
Base lean: D+9
- Won last contested race by only 4.6 points
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+9). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 10/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 115 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.