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Asm. Carl Heastie

District 83 Democrat First elected 2000

Carl Heastie represents AD-83, a D+71 district in the Bronx that has returned him with margins exceeding 77 points in every contested general election since 2010, most recently 77.0 points in 2024; the district is rated Safe D across all 2026 electoral scenarios. AD-83 is a majority-minority, predominantly urban district where 66.5% of residents identify as Black and 27.2% as Hispanic, with a 22.1% poverty rate, 41.0% homeownership rate, and a voter registration breakdown of 75.8% Democrat and 4.4% Republican. Heastie, first elected in 2000, sponsored 16 bills in the 2025 session, with sponsorship concentrated in Assembly resolutions (6 bills), alongside single-bill entries in Legislative, Public Officers, Public Service, and Concurrent Assembly Resolutions law areas. No lobbying sector data or committee assignments were included in this brief.AI

Vulnerability Index

Base lean: D+80

Favorable D
Safe D
Neutral
Safe D
Favorable R
Safe D
  • Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+80). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

Electoral History

General Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2024 Carl E. Heastie 88.5% (30,322) Stephanie Liggio 11.5% (3,934) 77.0pts
2022 Carl E. Heastie 92.7% (18,496) Tristann Ma Davis 7.3% (1,466) 85.4pts
2020 Carl Heastie 92.9% (38,151) Brenton Ritchie 4.2% (1,711) 88.7pts
2018 Carl E. Heastie 96.7% (28,792) Aston G. Lee 2.1% (632) 94.6pts
2016 Carl E. Heastie 100.0% (32,958) Uncontested
2014 Carl E. Heastie 96.3% (14,040) Benjamin Holloway 3.7% (540) 92.6pts
2012 Carl E. Heastie 97.3% (34,294) David S. Glover 2.2% (767) 95.1pts
2010 Carl E. Heastie 98.0% (17,318) Patrick McManus 1.6% (277) 96.4pts
2008 Carl Е. Heastie 97.1% (30,584) Michel Blot 2.9% (909) 94.2pts
2006 Carl E. Heastie 94.1% (14,113) Willie Bowman 4.9% (741) 89.2pts
2004 Carl D. Heastie 100.0% (23,711) Uncontested
2002 Carl E. Heastie 94.1% (13,425) Dulles Rakal 4.9% (705) 89.2pts
2000 Carl E. Heastie 93.2% (21,368) Tina Taylor 6.0% (1,385) 87.2pts
1998 Samuel D. Bea, Jr. 91.6% (15,432) Dulles Rakal 5.2% (870) 86.4pts
1996 Samuel D. Bea, Jr. 89.8% (19,015) Calvin Johnson 6.6% (1,408) 83.2pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Voter Registration

76%
20%
Dem 75.8% Rep 4.4% Ind/Other 19.8%

District 83 Profile

Population 132,556
Median income $65,487
Median rent $1,529
Homeownership 41.0%
Education (BA+) 26.0%
Poverty rate 22.1%
Uninsured rate 7.0%
Unemployment rate 10.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Demographics

White 4.0%
Black 66.5%
Hispanic 27.2%
Asian 1.9%
Median age 37.1
Foreign born 38.6%
Limited English households 7.1%
Veterans 2.1%
Disability rate 14.6%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 35.1%
Public transit 44.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

Bills sponsored 16
Floor debate appearances 5
Years in office 26

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.

Floor Session Activity

A10000-A 2026-03-12
Assembly Resolution No. 1034 - 2026-2027 Executive Budget Response and Assembly One-House Budget Resolution
The New York State Assembly advanced its One-House Budget Resolution (A10000-A and companion bills A10001-A10009-A) on March 12, with Chair Pretlow outlining a $266 billion spending plan emphasizing tax relief and social investments. The resolution proposes $10.8 billion in combined personal income tax relief, including one-time energy rebate checks of $500-$300 for residential consumers, a two-year utility rate freeze, and $2.1 billion in education funding. The budget includes $1.2 billion in healthcare investments, $750 million for affordable housing programs, and revenue proposals totaling $3.6 billion from corporate income tax increases on companies earning over $10 million, personal income tax rate increases for top earners, and a new crypto mining excise tax. Ranking Member Palmesano raised fiscal concerns, noting the budget represents 1.2% growth over the Governor's proposal and projects cumulative out-year deficits of $30.3 billion through 2030. He questioned whether tax increases on high earners and financial firms—amid evidence that one-third of New Yorkers are considering leaving the state—would prove counterproductive, and raised concerns about energy policy costs and workforce retention in corrections. No vote was taken during this segment.
A10000-A 2026-03-12
Assembly Resolution No. 1034 - 2026-2027 Executive Budget Response and Assembly One-House Budget Resolution
The New York State Assembly advanced its One-House Budget Resolution for fiscal year 2026-2027, proposing $266 billion in all-funds spending (excluding $6 billion in Federal Medicaid reactivation) with major investments in education, healthcare, housing, and tax relief. Chair Pretlow highlighted $10.8 billion in combined personal income tax relief, including one-time energy rebate checks of $500-$300 for residential consumers, $2.1 billion in education funding, and $238 million to raise direct care worker wages. The budget includes revenue proposals totaling $3.6 billion through increased corporate and personal income taxes on top earners and a new crypto mining excise tax. However, Ranking Member Palmesano raised significant concerns about the budget's fiscal sustainability, noting cumulative out-year deficits of $30.3 billion and questioning whether tax increases on high earners and corporations—amid evidence of out-migration and financial sector flight—would undermine competitiveness. Palmesano also pressed on energy policy impacts, corrections workforce recruitment, and school bus electrification mandates. The resolution was advanced for further consideration.
A183 2025-03-13
Assembly Budget Resolution for State Fiscal Year 2025-2026 (in response to Executive Budget submission)
The New York State Assembly advanced its one-house budget resolution for fiscal year 2025-2026, proposing $256.5 billion in all-funds spending, $4.5 billion above Governor Hochul's executive proposal. The budget, presented by Ways and Means Committee Chair Pretlow, prioritizes tax relief for working and middle-class families through new tax credits totaling $1.1 billion when fully phased in, including the New York Works Tax Credit and LIFT Tax Credit. The proposal allocates $7 billion to resolve the state's Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund debt, providing relief to small businesses while raising unemployment benefits. The budget includes $2.7 billion in additional education funding, with changes to the Foundation Aid formula to benefit lower-income districts, and major investments in healthcare ($1 billion for capital needs), housing ($750 million for NYCHA and Mitchell-Lama programs), and human services ($575.7 million for direct care workforce raises). Revenue proposals include a corporate franchise tax increase for companies earning over $10 million (generating $1.6 billion in FY 2025-26) and a personal income tax increase for individuals earning over $5 million (generating $1.8 billion in FY 2025-26). Ranking Member Ra raised concerns about the budget's long-term sustainability, noting $38 billion in cumulative outyear deficits through 2029 despite the tax increases, and questioned the decision to draw $7 billion from reserve funds amid federal economic uncertainty. The debate continued with other members raising questions about specific provisions.
A948 2024-03-14
Legislative Resolution in response to the 2024-2025 Executive Budget submission to be adopted as legislation expressing the position of the New York State Assembly relating to the 2024-2025 New York State Budget
The New York State Assembly debated its 2024-2025 budget resolution (A948), with Chair Deborah Weinstein presenting a $245.8 billion all-funds spending plan that includes $2.3 billion in new revenue enhancements and significant investments across housing, education, healthcare, and child care. The budget raises the corporate franchise tax from 7.5% to 9% for businesses with taxable income exceeding $5 million and increases personal income tax rates on top earners. It allocates $250 million for housing vouchers, $1.8 billion for school aid restoration, and $3.1 billion for healthcare including a 3% Medicaid base increase. Ranking Member Ed Ra raised concerns about the budget's 6.1% spending growth, which exceeds the Assembly's historical 2% target, and questioned the state's heavy reliance on its wealthiest 1.6% of taxpayers for nearly half of personal income tax collections. Ra also highlighted New York's loss of 26,000 manufacturing jobs since 2011 while the nation gained 1.3 million, and expressed skepticism about the Medicaid Investment Fund's reliance on Federal approval of a managed care organization tax. Assemblymember Jensen raised concerns about the timing of Federal approval given the upcoming Presidential election. The debate continued at the time the transcript segment ended.
A07690 PASSED 2023-06-08
An act to amend the Election Law, in relation to the conducting of the Presidential primary, to provide for the election of delegates to a national party convention or a national party conference in 2024, and the 'Presidential' and 'June' primary in such year; and to make various other changes to Election Law regarding absentee ballots, write-in votes, and ballot recounts.
The Assembly passed A07690, sponsored by Asm. Heastie, which schedules New York's 2024 Presidential primary for April 2nd and enacts permanent changes to Election Law. The bill allows early voting during the ten days prior to Election Day, with adjusted hours to accommodate Easter Sunday (no voting) while maintaining voting on Good Friday and Holy Thursday. The legislation makes several permanent changes to Election Law: it allows write-in votes for candidates already on the ballot to be counted, permits non-postmarked absentee ballots received 2-7 days after Election Day to be cured via voter affirmation, and adds mechanisms to challenge certificates filling vacancies in designations. Assemblyman Norris opposed the bill, citing concerns about voting during Holy Week when election staff and voters may wish to observe religious holidays, the administrative burden on Boards of Elections, and the permanent Election Law changes regarding postmarks and write-in votes, which he argued could create opportunities for fraud. Ms. Walker defended the provisions as respecting voter intent and noted the non-postmarked ballot cure codifies a recent federal court decision. The Republican Conference opposed the bill generally, though members were encouraged to vote individually. The Majority Conference supported passage.

Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.

Bill Focus Areas

bills
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Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.