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Asm. Josh Jensen

District 134 Republican First elected 2021

Josh Jensen represents AD-134, a Republican-leaning district with a base lean of R+4 and a voter registration breakdown of 33.5% Republican, 33.3% Independent, and 30.2% Democrat; he ran uncontested in both 2024 and 2022, and in his first contested run in 2020 won by a 19.3-point margin, though scenario modeling places the district as a toss-up in a favorable Democratic environment, flagging modest but real vulnerability in 2026. The district is predominantly suburban and homeowning — 74.1% homeownership, 79.5% white, with a median household income of $83,189 and a poverty rate of 9.8% — reflecting a stable middle-class constituency with a slight but not commanding Republican registration edge. In the 2025 session Jensen sponsored 89 bills, with his heaviest concentration in Education (14 bills), Public Health (8 bills), Penal and Tax law (6 bills each), and State Finance (4 bills), indicating a broad generalist portfolio with particular emphasis on education and health policy. Jensen recorded 1 joint hearing engagement and no committee chairmanship is listed in this brief.AI

Topic Focus AI

Healthcare Prior Authorization & Drug AccessA00026A10461 Hospital Operations & Closure ProceduresS01226A01633-B Medicaid Managed Care Organization TaxationA08807-CA183 Pharmacy Benefit Manager TransparencyA09764A08872 Cancer Cluster Epidemiological StudiesA04219 Horseshoe Crab Conservation & Biomedical UseA10140 Judicial Department ReorganizationA08883 Manufactured Housing & Rent RegulationA00340-A Medical Aid in Dying SafeguardsA00136 Peer-to-Peer Vehicle Rental Insurance RequirementsA06757 State Employee Telework ExpansionA4850 Surrogacy Legal Protections & Family FormationA04921-C

Topics extracted by AI from floor debate speeches, joint committee hearing transcripts, and sponsored legislation. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.

Key Issues AI

Cannabis 3 against A10140
Civil Service 2 for A4850
New York City Administrative Code 2 against A10461
Public Health 1 against A565
Education 1 against A183
Education 14 bills
Public Health 8 bills
Penal 6 bills
Tax 6 bills
State Finance 4 bills
Executive 3 bills
Highway 3 bills
Legislative 3 bills

Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

Bills sponsored 89
Joint hearing appearances 1
Floor debate appearances 50
Years in office 5

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).

Bill Focus Areas

Education 14 bills
Public Health 8 bills
Penal 6 bills
Tax 6 bills
State Finance 4 bills
Executive 3 bills
Highway 3 bills
Legislative 3 bills

Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Floor Speeches: In Support (14) AI

A05036 Concurrent Resolution proposing constitutional amendments to require certain elections be held in even-numbered years at the general election 2026-06-05 PASSED

Shared personal anecdote of his seven-year-old son having a full conversation with an AI assistant in their kitchen, motivating his support.

A09408 Amend the Executive Law to add Salmon Creek in Monroe County to the definition of inland waterways 2026-06-05 PASSED
A04619-B An act to amend the Tax Law, in relation to the taxation of vapor products 2026-06-04 PASSED

Supported the bill as streamlining vapor product regulation by moving taxing authority from Health to Tax and Finance. Noted the system mimics Connecticut's approach and will combat illicit vape sales while maintaining tax revenue for public health.

A00269 Presumptive eligibility for medical assistance benefits of individuals leaving incarceration 2026-06-02 PASSED

While initially questioning implementation details, ultimately supported the bill, noting it has sufficient safeguards and could facilitate successful reintegration of formerly incarcerated individuals into society by ensuring healthcare access is already addressed upon release.

A03508 Doula-friendly workplace study — requires Department of Health to study integration of doula care in healthcare facilities 2026-06-02

Expressed support for the bill while noting concern about timing relative to prior legislation, but acknowledged the urgency of addressing New York's maternal mortality crisis, particularly its disproportionate impact on Black women.

Floor Speeches: In Opposition (36) AI

A11550 Amending the Judiciary Law in relation to judicial departments 2026-06-04

Raised concerns about the lack of public hearings and Judiciary Committee review, questioned why other judicial districts with similar population disparities (like the 9th JD with Westchester County) were not similarly restructured, and highlighted significant per-judge population disparities between districts (approximately 20,000 more people per judge in the 7th JD versus Erie County).

A03508 Doula-friendly workplace study 2026-06-02

Expressed concern about passing a study bill before previously-enacted doula legislation had fully gone into effect and pilot programs had been fully assessed. While supporting the bill and acknowledging the maternal health crisis, questioned whether studying programs before they matured was premature.

A08004 Amend Public Health Law to prohibit Child Health Plus plans from requiring providers to join their network as condition of participation 2026-06-01 PASSED

Questioned why the bill mandates how private contracts are negotiated and expressed concern about consumer confusion when switching between products within the same insurance company.

A02749 Nutrition Labeling on Restaurant Menus 2026-05-19 PASSED

While supporting healthier eating, emphasized personal responsibility and proposed QR codes as a common-sense alternative to reduce printing burden on businesses when menus and recipes change.

A02749 Nutrition Labeling on Restaurant Menus 2026-05-19 PASSED

While supporting healthier eating, Jensen emphasized personal responsibility and suggested QR codes as a common-sense alternative to reduce printing burden on businesses when menus and recipes change. Expressed concerns about regulatory burden on the industry.

Electoral History

General Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2024 Josh Jensen 100.0% (48,903) Uncontested —
2022 Josh Jensen 100.0% (38,580) Uncontested —
2020 Josh Jensen 57.8% (38,937) Carolyn D. Carrol 38.5% (25,924) 19.3pts
2018 Peter A. Lawrence 100.0% (37,758) Uncontested —
2016 Peter A. Lawrence 100.0% (48,022) Uncontested —
2014 Peter A. Lawrence 67.7% (24,269) Gary E. Pudup 32.3% (11,553) 35.4pts
2012 Bill Reilich 100.0% (45,841) Uncontested —
2010 Bill Reilich 69.6% (27,407) David G. Zimmerman 30.4% (11,998) 39.2pts
2008 Bill Reilich 63.9% (33,513) David L. Garretson 36.1% (18,897) 27.8pts
2006 Bill Reilich 64.9% (25,017) Philip A. Fedele 35.1% (13,541) 29.8pts
2004 Bill Reilich 65.8% (33,494) Laurie E. Shea 34.2% (17,437) 31.6pts
2002 Bill Reilich 62.3% (24,573) Frederick J. Amato 37.7% (14,842) 24.6pts
2000 Joseph E. Robach 78.6% (36,824) William N. Faber 21.4% (10,050) 57.2pts
1998 Joseph Е. Robach 80.9% (29,689) Carolyn S. Rapp 19.1% (7,025) 61.8pts
1996 Joseph E. Robach 100.0% (36,987) Uncontested —

Primary Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2020 (Democratic) Carolyn D. Carrol 78.9% (5,172) Dylan P. Dailor 21.1% (1,386) 57.8pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Vulnerability Index

Base lean: R+4

Favorable D
Toss-up
Neutral
Lean R
Favorable R
Likely R
  • Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
  • Ran uncontested in most recent election

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+4). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 10/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

District 134 Profile

Population 131,714
Median income $83,189
Median rent $1,182
Homeownership 74.1%
Education (BA+) 32.8%
Poverty rate 9.8%
Uninsured rate 2.6%
Unemployment rate 4.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Voter Registration

30%
34%
36%
Dem 30.2% Rep 33.5% Ind/Other 36.3%

Demographics

White 79.5%
Black 7.6%
Hispanic 7.7%
Asian 2.1%
Median age 41.8
Foreign born 6.3%
Limited English households 1.8%
Veterans 5.8%
Disability rate 14.3%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 78.2%
Public transit 0.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.