Asm. Paula Kay — The Commons Gallery

Paula Kay represents AD-100, a district with a D+12 partisan lean but a notably competitive recent electoral history — she won her 2024 general election by just 5.2 points over Louis J. Ingrassia, Jr. (52.6% to 47.4%), and scenario modeling rates the district as only Lean D under a favorable Republican environment in 2026. The district has a population of 133,157 with a majority-minority demographic profile — 54.8% white, 27.3% Hispanic, and 16.5% Black — alongside a 14.5% poverty rate, 62.3% homeownership rate, and a voter registration breakdown of 39.5% Democrat, 27.5% Independent, and 27.4% Republican. First elected in 2025, Kay has sponsored 62 bills in her initial session, with her highest-volume focus areas in Public Service and Vehicle and Traffic law (5 bills each), followed by Alcoholic Beverage Control and Criminal Procedure (4 bills each), and Racing, Pari-Mutuel Wagering and Breeding and Retirement and Social Security (3 bills each). No committee chairmanship is indicated in the available data for Kay.AI

Vulnerability Index AD-100

Base lean: D+12

Favorable D

Safe D

Neutral

Likely D

Favorable R

Lean D

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+12). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

Electoral History AD-100

General Elections

Year	Winner	Runner-up	Margin
2024	Paula Elaine Kay 52.6% (27,073)	Louis J. Ingrassia, Jr. 47.4% (24,395)	⚡ 5.2pts
2022	Aileen M. Gunther 56.6% (20,257)	Lisa LaBue 43.4% (15,518)	13.2pts
2020	Aileen M. Gunther 100.0% (37,529)	Uncontested	—
2018	Aileen M. Gunther 100.0% (27,347)	Uncontested	—
2016	Aileen M. Gunther 100.0% (33,142)	Uncontested	—
2014	Aileen M. Gunther 100.0% (19,561)	Uncontested	—
2012	Aileen M. Gunther 71.4% (31,299)	Gary D. Linton 28.6% (12,528)	42.8pts
2010	Thomas J. Kirwan 50.0% (15,084)	Frank K. Skartados 50.0% (15,069)	⚡ 0.0pts
2008	Frank K. Skartados 51.0% (22,630)	Tom Kirwan 49.0% (21,753)	⚡ 2.0pts
2006	Thomas J. Kirwan 55.7% (15,228)	Eleanor Thompson 44.3% (12,096)	11.4pts
2004	Thomas J. Kirwan 61.0% (23,589)	Elsa App 39.0% (15,110)	22.0pts
2002	Thomas J. Kirwan 89.1% (17,581)	Gerard Mileo 6.8% (1,339)	82.3pts
2000	Robert A. D'Andrea 72.2% (34,294)	Dennis R. Gravelle 27.8% (13,172)	44.4pts
1998	Robert А. D'Andrea 100.0% (26,379)	Uncontested	—
1996	Robert A. D'Andrea 62.2% (28,002)	Edgar A. King 37.8% (17,038)	24.4pts

Primary Elections

Year	Winner	Runner-up	Margin
2024 (Republican)	Louis J. Ingrassia, Jr. 60.2% (1,322)	Camille O'Brien 39.8% (873)	20.4pts
2008 (Democratic)	Frank K. Skartados 55.6% (892)	Ronald S. Ray 44.4% (712)	11.2pts
2002 (Green)	Daniel R. Searles 100.0% (5)	Uncontested	—

Special Elections

Year	Winner	Runner-up	Margin
2012	Frank K. Skartados 60.3% (5,869)	John Forman 39.7% (3,856)	20.6pts
2002	Roy J. McDonald 70.6% (8,558)	Terry R. Seeley 23.4% (2,834)	47.2pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Voter Registration

40%

27%

33%

Dem 39.5% Rep 27.4% Ind/Other 33.1%

District 100 Profile

Population 133,157

Median income $79,359

Median rent $1,392

Homeownership 62.3%

Education (BA+) 27.1%

Poverty rate 14.5%

Uninsured rate 6.3%

Unemployment rate 6.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Demographics

White 54.8%

Black 16.5%

Hispanic 27.3%

Asian 2.9%

Median age 40.1

Foreign born 15.9%

Limited English households 5.5%

Veterans 5.5%

Disability rate 15.5%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 68.3%

Public transit 3.0%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

62

17

Years in office 1

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.

Floor Session Activity 2025–2026

A04821-A 2026-03-30

Direct New York State Bridge Authority to provide report on efforts to decrease and deter suicide attempts on authority bridges

A10344 PASSED 2026-03-09

An act to amend chapter 63 of the Laws of 2021 relating to supermarkets providing excess edible food to food relief organizations

A08392 PASSED 2026-03-09

An act to amend the Mental Hygiene Law, in relation to state aid provided to volunteer agencies for the provision of certain addiction services

A06903-B PASSED 2026-03-05

An act to amend the Labor Law, in relation to requiring public and not-for-profit libraries develop and implement programs to protect library employees

The Assembly passed A06903-B, sponsored by Asm. Bronson, requiring public and not-for-profit libraries to develop and implement workplace safety programs to protect employees. Supporters highlighted that libraries, as public spaces open to all, experience disruptions and safety incidents, including contentious custodial exchanges. Asm. Kay noted that safety concerns have become the primary issue raised by libraries in her district. The legislation aims to restore libraries as peaceful spaces for learning and reflection while ensuring employee protection.

A07627-B PASSED 2026-03-05

An act to amend the Veterans' Services Law, in relation to availability of information on home care services

A05115 PASSED 2026-02-09

An act to amend the Public Health Law, in relation to home care worker wage parity

A07856 / S07416 PASSED 2025-06-17

An act to amend the Estates, Powers and Trusts Law and the State Technology Law, in relation to electronic wills

The Assembly passed legislation authorizing electronic wills in New York, allowing remote execution via secure video conference with trained notaries and witnesses. Sponsor Asm. Lavine argued the measure addresses access barriers, noting less than one-third of New Yorkers have wills and rural areas face particular challenges. The bill requires multifactor authentication, video recording filed with Surrogate's Court within 30 days, and trained notaries to assess testator competence. Opponents, including Asm. Walsh and Asm. Ra, raised concerns about inability to detect undue influence or family pressure through video, loss of personal attorney-client interaction, and potential for fraud. Walsh shared a personal anecdote about discovering undisclosed family influence on an elderly client with dementia that she might have missed via video. Proponents emphasized strong procedural safeguards and convenience for elderly and disabled individuals. The Republican Conference generally opposed the measure while the Majority Conference supported it. The effective date is 545 days after enactment to allow court system preparation.

A08656 PASSED 2025-05-29

An act to amend the Environmental Conservation Law, in relation to extending the authority of the Department of Environmental Conservation to manage hickory shad

A07579 PASSED 2025-05-27

An act to amend the Alcoholic Beverage Control Law, in relation to providing for a license to sell liquor at retail for consumption on certain premises

A07579 PASSED 2025-05-27

An act to amend the Alcoholic Beverage Control Law, in relation to providing for a license to sell liquor at retail for consumption on certain premises

A08151 PASSED 2025-05-20

An act to amend the Public Service Law, in relation to proposed rate changes for gas and electric service

A01441-A PASSED 2025-05-14

An act to amend the Public Service Law, in relation to complaint handling procedures by the Public Service Commission

The Assembly passed A01441-A, sponsored by Asm. Dinowitz, requiring utilities to respond to consumer complaints in writing within 15 days (30 days for municipalities) after concluding investigations. The bill expands complaint procedures to cover residential and commercial customers for gas, electric, and steam utilities, and imposes penalties of $100 per day for utilities and $25 per day for municipalities for late responses. Dinowitz argued the bill addresses widespread constituent complaints about non-responsive utilities and that the administrative burden is minimal for large companies. Critics, including Ms. Walsh and Asm. Angelino, raised concerns about vague language defining when investigations conclude, potential duplicate penalties already imposed by the PSC, and worries that utilities might seek rate increases to cover compliance costs. The Minority Conference voted generally in the negative, though some members supported it. The bill received support from members citing daily constituent complaints about utilities.

A04938 PASSED 2025-05-05

An act to amend the Labor Law, in relation to providing protections for telecommunications tower technicians

A07617 PASSED 2025-05-05

An act to amend the Public Health Law, in relation to removing the prohibitions on patient participation in multiple transplant programs in New York State

The Assembly passed legislation removing prohibitions on patients participating in multiple transplant programs in New York State. Sponsored by Assemblywoman Peoples-Stokes and 18 co-sponsors, the bill addresses a critical gap in access to organ transplants for Medicaid patients, who under current law can only apply to one program and be on one wait list. Peoples-Stokes noted that approximately 8,000 New Yorkers are currently on transplant wait lists, with roughly 400 expected to die before receiving a transplant. The measure was championed by Dr. Kayler, a transplant surgeon at Erie County Medical Center, and supported by Donate Life New York. The bill allows patients to remove themselves from dependence on dialysis machines by expanding their opportunities to access kidney transplants across multiple programs.

A06080 PASSED 2025-04-30

An act to amend Chapter 373 of the Laws of 2020 amending the Tax Law relating to authorizing the Town of Wallkill to adopt a hotel or motel tax of up to 5 percent, in relation to extending the effectiveness thereof

A06080 PASSED 2025-04-30

An act to amend Chapter 373 of the Laws of 2020 amending the Tax Law relating to authorizing the Town of Wallkill to adopt a hotel or motel tax of up to 5 percent, in relation to extending the effectiveness thereof

A02675 / S COMPANION NOT SPECIFIED PASSED 2025-02-05

An act to amend the Insurance Law, in relation to coverage for prenatal vitamins

Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.

Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026

bills

Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.