Asm. Nikki Lucas
Nikki Lucas represents AD-60, one of the most Democratic districts in New York State, carrying a D+72 registration lean and a base electoral model of D+80 across all projected 2026 scenarios — rated Safe D under every modeled environment. Lucas ran uncontested in 2024 and held 93.8% of the vote against token opposition in 2022 (margin: 87.6 points), continuing a pattern of non-competitive elections in a district that has not seen a close general election since 2010. The district is a majority-Black (67.5%), high-poverty (23.0%) urban constituency with a median household income of $51,382, 22.4% homeownership, and voter registration that is 76.2% Democratic against just 4.5% Republican. In the 2025 session, Lucas sponsored 30 bills, with the heaviest concentration in Executive law (5 bills), followed by Education and Public Service (2 bills each), and single bills spanning Appropriations, Arts and Cultural Affairs, Civil Service, County, and Economic Development; no committee chairmanship is indicated in the available data.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-60
Base lean: D+80
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+80). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-60
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Nikki Lucas 100.0% (29,257) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Nikki Lucas 93.8% (17,092) | Keron Alleyne 6.2% (1,139) | 87.6pts |
| 2020 | Charles Barron 100.0% (39,597) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Charles Barron 95.8% (28,911) | Leroy R. Bates 2.8% (839) | 93.0pts |
| 2016 | Charles Barron 96.5% (37,051) | Ernest Johnson 3.5% (1,343) | 93.0pts |
| 2014 | Charles Barron 94.2% (13,270) | Leroy R. Bates, Sr. 5.8% (822) | 88.4pts |
| 2012 | Inez D. Barron 96.7% (34,514) | Kenneth Waluyn 3.3% (1,180) | 93.4pts |
| 2010 | Nicole Malliotakis 54.5% (13,944) | D. Janele Hyer-Spencer 44.7% (11,435) | ⚡ 9.8pts |
| 2008 | D. Janele Hyer-Spencer 54.7% (20,077) | Joseph F. Cammarata 45.3% (16,620) | ⚡ 9.4pts |
| 2006 | D. Janele Hyer-Spencer 51.7% (11,352) | Anthony C. Xanthakis 48.3% (10,605) | ⚡ 3.4pts |
| 2004 | Matthew Mirones 59.9% (20,561) | Donna J. Hyer-Spencer 40.1% (13,742) | 19.8pts |
| 2002 | Matthew Mirones 65.1% (13,185) | Matthew P. Spano 34.9% (7,084) | 30.2pts |
| 2000 | Eric N. Vitaliano 70.4% (27,834) | Frank J. Peters 28.3% (11,183) | 42.1pts |
| 1998 | Eric N. Vitaliano 60.1% (16,758) | Glenn А. Yost 38.7% (10,781) | 21.4pts |
| 1996 | Eric N. Vitaliano 60.5% (20,064) | Louis R. Tobacco 36.5% (12,102) | 24.0pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 (Democratic) | Charles Barron 80.2% (11,915) | Jaytee Spurgeon 19.8% (2,940) | 60.4pts |
| 2014 (Democratic) | Charles Barron 63.3% (4,082) | Christopher W. Banks 36.7% (2,370) | 26.6pts |
Special Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Matthew Mirones 53.5% (3,927) | James Hart 46.5% (3,409) | ⚡ 7.0pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 60 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.