Asm. William Magnarelli
William Magnarelli has represented AD-129, a D+23 district centered in the Syracuse area, since 2009, and faces no meaningful electoral threat — the district carries a base lean of D+29, rates Safe D across all modeled scenarios, and Magnarelli ran uncontested in both 2024 and 2022; his most competitive recent contested race was a 43.0-point margin over Edward G. Weber, Jr. in 2020. The district has a population of 130,523 with a poverty rate of 19.4%, median household income of $58,335, and a homeownership rate of 48.8%, with voter registration running 43.6% Democrat and 20.6% Republican against a 30.2% Independent share. In the 2025 session Magnarelli sponsored 121 bills, with Vehicle and Traffic law comprising the single largest focus at 36 bills, followed by Education, General Business, and Tax at 7 bills each, reflecting a legislative profile oriented toward transportation, commerce, and local fiscal matters. Floor activity shows a recurring concentration on Vehicle and Traffic and Public Service legislation, including bills tied to Central New York infrastructure such as Thruway toll exemptions during the I-81 reconstruction project and utility pole attachment safety enforcement.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-129
Base lean: D+29
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+29). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-129
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | William B. Magnarelli 100.0% (35,165) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | William B. Magnarelli 100.0% (24,143) | Uncontested | — |
| 2020 | William B. Magnarelli 71.5% (34,207) | Edward G. Weber, Jr. 28.5% (13,606) | 43.0pts |
| 2018 | William B. Magnarelli 74.0% (26,937) | Edward L. Ott 21.3% (7,747) | 52.7pts |
| 2016 | William B. Magnarelli 100.0% (34,747) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | William B. Magnarelli 72.1% (19,788) | Richard G. Zaccaria 27.9% (7,652) | 44.2pts |
| 2012 | William B. Magnarelli 100.0% (35,774) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Brian M. Kolb 100.0% (30,246) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Brian M. Kolb 65.9% (32,363) | Noah P. Sargent 34.1% (16,762) | 31.8pts |
| 2006 | Brian M. Kolb 100.0% (25,805) | Uncontested | — |
| 2004 | Brian M. Kolb 51.0% (27,870) | Ellen M. Polimeni 44.8% (24,478) | ⚡ 6.2pts |
| 2002 | Brian M. Kolb 71.6% (26,297) | Francine J. D'Amico 28.4% (10,450) | 43.2pts |
| 2000 | Brian M. Kolb 57.4% (28,775) | Samuel J. Casella 42.6% (21,363) | 14.8pts |
| 1998 | Craig J. Doran 96.8% (26,701) | Danielle L. Tousley 3.2% (879) | 93.6pts |
| 1996 | Craig J. Doran 95.8% (32,777) | Louis J. Pasqua 4.2% (1,446) | 91.6pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 (Republican) | Brian M. Kolb 73.1% (4,814) | Thomas H. Fox 26.9% (1,773) | 46.2pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 129 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.