Asm. Marcela Mitaynes — The Commons Gallery

Marcela Mitaynes represents AD-51, a heavily Democratic district rated D+60 in voter registration, with Democrats holding 67.9% of registrations compared to 7.8% Republican, and is rated Safe D across all 2026 electoral scenarios. She has won her last two contested general elections by commanding margins — 54.2 points in 2024 and 57.4 points in 2022 — continuing a pattern of lopsided outcomes in a district previously held uncontested by Felix Ortiz. The district is a majority-Hispanic, renter-heavy urban constituency in New York City, with 45.3% Hispanic residents, a 27.3% homeownership rate, a 20.3% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,854. In the 2025 session, Mitaynes sponsored 10 bills with sponsorship spread across areas including Private Housing Finance, Real Property Actions and Proceedings, Environmental Conservation, and Executive law, reflecting a legislative focus consistent with housing and urban policy concerns.AI

Vulnerability Index AD-51

Base lean: D+70

Favorable D

Safe D

Neutral

Safe D

Favorable R

Safe D

Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+70). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

Electoral History AD-51

General Elections

Year	Winner	Runner-up	Margin
2024	Marcela Mitaynes 77.1% (22,007)	Erik S. Frankel 22.9% (6,554)	54.2pts
2022	Marcela Mitaynes 78.7% (15,174)	Timothy Peterson 21.3% (4,114)	57.4pts
2020	Marcela Mitaynes 100.0% (27,954)	Uncontested	—
2018	Felix W. Ortiz 100.0% (20,738)	Uncontested	—
2016	Felix W. Ortiz 88.0% (24,181)	Henry Lallave 12.0% (3,288)	76.0pts
2014	Felix W. Ortiz 88.0% (7,887)	Sandra A. Palacios-Serrano 12.0% (1,073)	76.0pts
2012	Felix W. Ortiz 87.8% (18,918)	Henry Lallave 12.2% (2,635)	75.6pts
2010	Felix W. Ortiz 83.7% (8,499)	Henry Lallave 16.3% (1,655)	67.4pts
2008	Felix W. Ortiz 86.9% (16,302)	Luis А. Garcia 11.5% (2,161)	75.4pts
2006	Felix W. Ortiz 86.3% (7,431)	Washington G. Artus 13.7% (1,184)	72.6pts
2004	Felix W. Ortiz 84.2% (14,442)	Allan E. Romaguera 15.8% (2,710)	68.4pts
2002	Felix W. Ortiz 81.5% (6,829)	Washington G. Artus 18.5% (1,552)	63.0pts
2000	Felix W. Ortiz 90.9% (18,683)	Hilario LaBoy 9.1% (1,866)	81.8pts
1998	Felix W. Ortiz 88.1% (10,583)	Thomas J. Faulkner 11.9% (1,431)	76.2pts
1996	Felix W. Ortiz 85.9% (13,773)	Joseph А. English 8.9% (1,430)	77.0pts

Primary Elections

Year	Winner	Runner-up	Margin
2020 (Democratic)	Marcela Mitaynes 34.9% (3,591)	Felix W. Ortiz 32.3% (3,319)	⚡ 2.6pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Voter Registration

68%

24%

Dem 67.9% Rep 7.8% Ind/Other 24.3%

District 51 Profile

Population 122,727

Median income $82,854

Median rent $1,861

Homeownership 27.3%

Education (BA+) 35.9%

Poverty rate 20.3%

Uninsured rate 10.6%

Unemployment rate 7.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Demographics

White 30.5%

Black 6.6%

Hispanic 45.3%

Asian 19.7%

Median age 36.8

Foreign born 39.6%

Limited English households 27.1%

Veterans 1.5%

Disability rate 10.9%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 12.0%

Public transit 46.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

10

Years in office 5

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.

Floor Session Activity 2025–2026

A08663 / S[NUMBER NOT SPECIFIED] PASSED 2025-06-10

NYC Housing Development Corporation bonding authority increase

The Assembly passed A08663, increasing the New York City Housing Development Corporation's bonding authority by $1 billion, from $19 billion to $20 billion. Sponsor Assemblymember Mitaynes stated the increase supports affordable housing projects in the pipeline and works in partnership with HPD and NYCHA. Assemblymember Ra questioned the necessity of the increase given that $1.67 billion in bonding authority remains available under the current cap, and expressed concern about the cumulative debt burden. Ra noted that similar $1 billion increases were made in 2023 and 2022, and a $1.5 billion increase in 2021. The Republican Conference generally opposed the measure while the Majority Conference supported it.

A08663 / S[NUMBER NOT SPECIFIED] PASSED 2025-06-10

Increase NYC Housing Development Corporation bonding authority

The Assembly passed legislation increasing the New York City Housing Development Corporation's bonding authority by $1 billion, from $19 billion to $20 billion. Sponsor Assemblywoman Mitaynes said the increase supports affordable housing projects in the pipeline and works with HPD and NYCHA to achieve the city's affordable housing goals. Assemblymember Ra raised concerns about the cumulative debt burden, noting that $1.67 billion in bonding authority remains unused under the current cap and that similar increases have occurred regularly in recent years. Mitaynes stated that HDC is in good standing and that the increase does not result in additional state-supported debt. The bill passed with Republican opposition.

A08663 TABLED 2025-06-09

An act to amend the Private Housing Finance Law, in relation to increasing the bonding authority of the New York City Housing Development Corporation

A08663 TABLED 2025-06-09

An act to amend the Private Housing Finance Law, in relation to increasing the bonding authority of the New York City Housing Development Corporation

A06601 2024-03-21

An act to amend the Banking Law, in relation to prohibiting state chartered banking institutions from investing in and providing financing for private prisons

A07764 2023-06-21

An act to amend the Public Authorities Law, in relation to enacting 'the planned offshore wind transmission act'

The Assembly sustained the Speaker's ruling that A7764, the planned offshore wind transmission act, does not require a Home Rule request despite including provisions for parkland alienation in Long Beach, Nassau County. Assemblyman Goodell challenged the ruling, arguing the bill's specific authorization of local parkland alienation has always required Home Rule consent under the New York State Constitution and decades of Assembly practice. He noted earlier versions of the bill required a Home Rule request, which was submitted but rejected on a technicality. The Speaker ruled the bill addresses larger statewide concerns beyond parkland alienation, making a Home Rule request unnecessary. Mrs. Peoples-Stokes supported the ruling, distinguishing this bill from prior legislation. Goodell attempted to offer an amendment striking the parkland section, but the Speaker ruled the motion out of order for lack of written form. Goodell challenged that ruling as well, citing Assembly rules allowing motions to strike from the calendar when a question is before the House.

A7764 2023-06-21

Planned Offshore Wind Transmission Act

The New York State Assembly engaged in extensive debate on A7764, the Planned Offshore Wind Transmission Act, with sharp disagreement over whether the measure constitutes a statewide climate initiative or a local bill affecting Long Island communities. Sponsor Assemblywoman Mitaynes characterized the bill as essential to meeting New York's climate mandate under the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act, enabling offshore wind projects to generate 9 gigawatts by 2035 and supporting thousands of union jobs, with particular benefits to environmental justice communities like Sunset Park through development of the South Brooklyn Marine Terminal. Opponents, led by Assemblyman Brown of the 20th District, contended the bill is fundamentally local, containing specific metes and bounds descriptions of Long Beach and Island Park properties. Brown criticized the out-of-district sponsor's lack of familiarity with affected communities, questioned the adequacy of community engagement, raised concerns about recent marine mammal deaths on the East Coast, and cited a recent developer meeting indicating the project faces financial difficulties. Assemblyman Ra raised procedural concerns, noting the bill lacks a Home Rule request despite containing parkland alienation provisions—unlike eight other parkland alienation bills passed this session—and questioned the timing given pending Federal environmental approvals and an incomplete SEQR review. The debate remained unresolved at the end of this transcript segment, with no vote recorded.

A05697 RECALLED 2023-05-10

Rental housing — prohibition on reporting negative rent payment history to consumer reporting agencies

The Assembly recalled a bill that would prohibit landlords from reporting negative rent payment history to consumer reporting agencies before a final vote tally was recorded. The measure, sponsored by Assemblymember Rosenthal, sparked heated debate between housing advocates and landlord advocates. Supporters argued the bill protects tenants from discriminatory practices and excessive salary requirements that exclude working people from housing. Opponents contended it would force landlords to raise rents to cover increased risk and worsen New York's housing crisis by discouraging investment in rental properties. The bill drew passionate testimony from members on both sides, with supporters citing personal experiences of housing insecurity and opponents warning of disinvestment in residential real estate. Majority Leader Peoples-Stokes moved to recall the bill and lay it aside before the roll call vote was completed, preventing a final tally from being recorded.

A02883 LAID ASIDE 2023-05-08

An act to amend the Civil Practice Law and Rules, in relation to requiring a certificate of merit in proceedings to recover possession of real property.

A04781 LAID ASIDE 2023-05-08

An act to amend the Real Property Law, in relation to prohibiting landlords, lessors, sub-lessors, and grantors from demanding brokers' fees from a tenant.

Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.

Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026

bills

Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.