Asm. Andrew Molitor
Andrew Molitor (R-AD-150) is a freshman Assembly member first elected in 2024, winning his district by 25.8 points over Mike Bobseine despite representing a D+25 district — a seat held by predecessor Andrew Goodell with margins as wide as 49.2 points in prior cycles; the 2026 model rates the seat Lean R in a neutral environment but a Toss-up under a favorable Democratic environment. AD-150 is a predominantly rural, majority-white (85.1%) district with a median household income of $58,197, a 17.5% poverty rate, and 69.0% homeownership, where Republicans hold only 22.7% of voter registrations against 47.7% Democratic and 25.4% Independent. In the 2025 session, Molitor sponsored 55 bills, with concentrations in Social Services (7), Election (6), Criminal Procedure (4), Penal (4), and Tax (4) law areas; no committee chairmanship is indicated in the available data. The brief does not identify top lobbying sectors or committee-lobbying overlap flags for this member.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from floor debate speeches, joint committee hearing transcripts, and sponsored legislation. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (5) AI
Acknowledged concerns about uneven application but ultimately supported the bill, noting that both prosecutor and court must agree, and that individual cases require flexibility to achieve just results. He emphasized the built-in protections and his experience as both defense lawyer and prosecutor.
Commended sponsor for bipartisan engagement and noted bill protects vulnerable people afraid to come to law enforcement due to victimization, abuse, or trafficking. Bill passed Senate unanimously.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (34) AI
The bill is fatally flawed, removing judicial discretion on bail, changing competency standards to require impossible future predictions, preventing use of medical evidence, and allowing judges to unilaterally dismiss cases without prosecution input—all opposed by every district attorney in the state.
Expressed concerns that the bill may restrict manufacturers from transferring products or support services to other companies within one year of end-of-life, and worried about potential Commerce Clause violations if manufacturers must alter business practices nationwide to comply with New York's requirements.
Raised concerns about restrictions on manufacturers' ability to transfer or sell products nearing end-of-life, and expressed worry about potential Commerce Clause violation lawsuits from manufacturers who would have to alter business practices across multiple states.
Argued the bill creates vague standards that will become a new defense to every foreclosure action, potentially making mortgages more expensive and harder to obtain, worsening New York's affordable housing crisis. Noted existing protections: Court of Appeals precedent voiding fraudulent mortgages, 2023 legislation allowing government agencies to stay proceedings, and rebuttable presumptions for deed theft convictions.
Questioned MCO tax changes, arguing they could increase costs for counties, small businesses on ACA exchange, and large group insurance purchasers despite claims of no change. Expressed concern about New York's already high health insurance premiums and Medicaid spending. Stated he would vote negative and encouraged colleagues to do so.
Electoral History AD-150
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Andrew M. Molitor 62.9% (34,297) | Mike Bobseine 37.1% (20,264) | 25.8pts |
| 2022 | Andrew W. Goodell 72.2% (30,993) | Sandra A. Lewis 27.8% (11,908) | 44.4pts |
| 2020 | Andrew W. Goodell 68.9% (39,593) | Christina Cardinale 31.1% (17,845) | 37.8pts |
| 2018 | Andrew W. Goodell 68.7% (29,821) | Judith S. Einach 31.3% (13,611) | 37.4pts |
| 2016 | Andrew Goodell 74.1% (38,272) | Jason A. Perdue 25.9% (13,397) | 48.2pts |
| 2014 | Andrew Goodell 74.6% (25,348) | Barrie E. Yochim 25.4% (8,622) | 49.2pts |
| 2012 | Andrew Goodell 61.3% (31,171) | Rudy Mueller 38.7% (19,695) | 22.6pts |
| 2010 | Andrew Goodell 55.7% (19,089) | Nancy Gay Bargar 44.3% (15,193) | 11.4pts |
| 2008 | William L. Parment 100.0% (30,086) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | William L. Parment 100.0% (22,346) | Uncontested | — |
| 2004 | William L. Parment 64.9% (31,497) | Randall J. Brown 35.1% (17,052) | 29.8pts |
| 2002 | William L. Parment 100.0% (18,163) | Uncontested | — |
| 2000 | William L. Parment 64.0% (28,288) | Randy Elf 36.0% (15,919) | 28.0pts |
| 1998 | William L. Parment 62.6% (20,889) | Randolph Scott Elf 37.4% (12,480) | 25.2pts |
| 1996 | William L. Parment 65.7% (28,540) | Robert J. Butcher 34.3% (14,924) | 31.4pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Reform) | Jason Perdue 76.5% (13) | Andrew Goodell 23.5% (4) | 53.0pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-150
Base lean: R+3
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+3). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 10/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 150 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.