Asm. Jenifer Rajkumar
Jenifer Rajkumar represents AD-38, a heavily Democratic district carrying a D+47 registration lean, where she ran uncontested in both 2022 and 2024 and is rated Safe D across all modeled 2026 scenarios; her only contested general election was in 2020, when she defeated Giovanni A. Perna by a 45.6-point margin. The district is majority-Hispanic at 51.5%, with 26.5% white, 16.9% Asian, and 5.4% Black residents, a median household income of $91,833, and a homeownership rate of 43.5%, with Democrats holding 58.7% of the 67,655 registered voters to Republicans' 12.1%. In the 2025 session, Rajkumar sponsored 149 bills, with her highest concentrations in Executive law (11 bills), Education (10 bills), and Vehicle and Traffic (10 bills), followed by New York City Administrative Code (9 bills) and General Business (8 bills). No committee chairmanship data or lobbying sector information is available in this brief.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-38
Base lean: D+56
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+56). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-38
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Jenifer Rajkumar 100.0% (22,718) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Jennifer Rajkumar 100.0% (11,662) | Uncontested | — |
| 2020 | Jenifer Rajkumar 72.8% (25,232) | Giovanni A. Perna 27.2% (9,443) | 45.6pts |
| 2018 | Michael G. Miller 100.0% (18,841) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Michael G. Miller 80.5% (23,958) | Joseph Maldonado 19.5% (5,795) | 61.0pts |
| 2014 | Michael G. Miller 100.0% (6,694) | Uncontested | — |
| 2012 | Michael G. Miller 100.0% (19,814) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Michael G. Miller 69.7% (9,204) | Donna Marie Caltabiano 30.3% (4,010) | 39.4pts |
| 2008 | Anthony S. Seminerio 100.0% (19,857) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | Anthony S. Seminerio 100.0% (10,849) | Uncontested | — |
| 2004 | Anthony S. Seminerio 100.0% (20,351) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | Anthony S. Seminerio 95.5% (7,618) | Darius Pereira 4.5% (356) | 91.0pts |
| 2000 | Anthony S. Seminerio 76.0% (18,737) | William F. Johnert 24.0% (5,917) | 52.0pts |
| 1998 | Anthony S. Seminerio 100.0% (13,025) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 | Anthony S. Seminerio 77.1% (18,784) | William F. Johnert 22.9% (5,577) | 54.2pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (Democratic) | Jenifer Rajkumar 52.0% (3,816) | Michael G. Miller 25.2% (1,851) | 26.8pts |
Special Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Michael G. Miller 65.0% (2,792) | Donna Marie Caltabiano 33.9% (1,458) | 31.1pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 38 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.