Asm. Claire Valdez
Claire Valdez represents AD-37, a D+49 district with 60.8% Democratic registration and 11.6% Republican registration, covering a heavily renter-dominated (27.5% homeownership), racially diverse urban constituency that is 47.7% white, 32.4% Hispanic, and 18.2% Asian, with a median household income of $91,152. First elected in 2025, Valdez ran uncontested in the 2024 general election, and the district's 2026 outlook is rated Safe D across all modeled environments, with a base lean of D+59. Her 24 sponsored bills are concentrated heavily in Labor (10 bills), with additional sponsorship in Public Service (2 bills), Workers' Compensation (2 bills), and single bills spanning Education, Election law, Emergency Tenant Protection, and Alcoholic Beverage Control. No committee chairmanship data is reflected in this brief.AI
Vulnerability Index AD-37
Base lean: D+59
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+59). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts. Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/1/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
Electoral History AD-37
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Claire Valdez 100.0% (34,293) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Juan Ardila 100.0% (22,214) | Uncontested | — |
| 2020 | Catherine Nolan 100.0% (40,614) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Catherine T. Nolan 100.0% (29,035) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Catherine T. Nolan 100.0% (34,835) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Catherine T. Nolan 92.9% (10,336) | John Kevin Wilson 7.1% (792) | 85.8pts |
| 2012 | Catherine T. Nolan 87.8% (24,343) | John Kevin Wilson 12.2% (3,384) | 75.6pts |
| 2010 | Catherine T. Nolan 84.1% (12,170) | John Kevin Wilson 15.9% (2,300) | 68.2pts |
| 2008 | Catherine T. Nolan 100.0% (20,601) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | Catherine T. Nolan 100.0% (10,102) | Uncontested | — |
| 2004 | Catherine T. Nolan 100.0% (18,537) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | Catherine T. Nolan 94.4% (8,638) | Patrick J. Langhenry 5.6% (510) | 88.8pts |
| 2000 | Catherine T. Nolan 83.3% (17,938) | Alice Lemos 16.7% (3,584) | 66.6pts |
| 1998 | Catherine T. Nolan 80.2% (10,602) | John J. Ward 19.8% (2,625) | 60.4pts |
| 1996 | Catherine T. Nolan 81.7% (15,375) | John L. Cuda, Jr. 18.3% (3,447) | 63.4pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (Democratic) | Catherine Nolan 47.8% (6,554) | Mary Jobaida 36.8% (5,041) | 11.0pts |
| 2018 (Reform) | Link Aller 8.3% (2) | Zephyr Teachout 4.2% (1) | ⚡ 0.0pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Voter Registration
District 37 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Joint hearing appearances from NYS Senate hearing transcripts.
Floor Session Activity 2025–2026
Source: Official NY Assembly floor session transcripts (Granicus). AI-processed. Includes sessions from 2023 onward where transcripts are available.
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset (JCOPE filings targeting Assembly members).
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.