Asm. Mary Beth Walsh
Mary Beth Walsh represents AD-112, a Republican-leaning district rated R+6 by voter registration (36,508 Republicans at 34.8%, versus 30,032 Democrats at 28.6%), with 31,873 independents comprising 30.3% of registrants. She has held the seat since 2017 and has won each contested race by comfortable margins — 17.8 points in 2024, 19.2 points in 2022, and 15.6 points in 2020 — with her 2026 outlook modeled at a base lean of R+14 and rated at minimum Likely R across all electoral environments. The district is predominantly suburban and affluent, with a median household income of $108,887, a 78.2% homeownership rate, a 4.8% poverty rate, and a population that is 86.9% white with 47.0% holding a bachelor's degree or higher. In the 2025 session Walsh sponsored 49 bills, with her heaviest concentration in Family Court Act legislation (3 bills), followed by Legislative and Retirement law areas (2 bills each), and single bills spanning Criminal Procedure, Education, General Business, General Municipal, and Constitutional amendments.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from floor debate speeches, joint committee hearing transcripts, and sponsored legislation. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (24) AI
Acknowledged the bill's importance given how deeply children engage with phones and technology, and expressed concern about the pace of technological change outpacing legislative response.
This bill addresses a substance that provides benefit for some but is extremely harmful to many, including a former neighbor whose son died from aspirating after using kratom; the regulation will save lives.
Supported the bill and noted this is Asm. Gallahan's last bill before ending his service in the Assembly; praised him for advocating for working families and small businesses.
Supported the bill and noted this is Asm. Keith Brown's last bill before ending his service in the Assembly; praised his work on the Alcoholism Committee and co-occurring disorders with mental health issues.
Noted this as Keith Brown's last bill in the Assembly and praised his service, particularly his work on the Alcoholism Committee and co-occurring disorders with mental health issues.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (26) AI
Argued the bill raises operational and public safety concerns, substantially limits discretion of correctional personnel, and imposes extensive documentation and training requirements creating administrative burdens, particularly for smaller jurisdictions; opposed by Sheriffs' Association.
Contended the bill is an unfunded government mandate imposing costs on hospitals, arguing awareness of racial disparities already exists and that annual implicit bias training will not meaningfully address the issue.
Questioned the process transparency, noting no public hearings or Judiciary Committee debate, and raised concerns about cost estimates, lack of population studies, the absence of diversity language in this year's memo versus last year's, potential voter disenfranchisement, and practical logistics of case management and caseload transfers under the new districts.
Agreed that health information deserves protection but questioned whether the bill strikes the right balance between privacy and innovation, research, and economic growth. Expressed concern about broad and uncertain requirements on entities beyond traditional healthcare providers and substantial compliance burdens with unintended consequences.
Quoted George Orwell's Animal Farm to express cynicism about the Legislature stacking the deck further. Called the bill disgusting and part of a pattern of increasingly worse legislation passed in recent days.
Electoral History AD-112
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mary Beth Walsh 58.9% (44,288) | Joe Seeman 41.1% (30,956) | 17.8pts |
| 2022 | Mary Beth Walsh 59.6% (35,654) | Andrew McAdoo 40.4% (24,141) | 19.2pts |
| 2020 | Mary Beth Walsh 57.8% (46,189) | Joseph S. Seeman 42.2% (33,750) | 15.6pts |
| 2018 | Mary Beth Walsh 100.0% (43,666) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Mary Beth Walsh 61.9% (41,267) | Michael R. Godlewski 38.1% (25,399) | 23.8pts |
| 2014 | James N. Tedisco 76.5% (33,805) | Jared B. Hickey 23.5% (10,400) | 53.0pts |
| 2012 | James N. Tedisco 68.1% (42,929) | Michele E. Draves 31.9% (20,142) | 36.2pts |
| 2010 | Tony Jordan 100.0% (32,441) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Tony Jordan 56.6% (31,264) | lan McGaughey 43.4% (23,990) | 13.2pts |
| 2006 | Roy J. McDonald 64.2% (26,619) | David J. Carter 35.8% (14,874) | 28.4pts |
| 2004 | Roy J. McDonald 100.0% (39,162) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | Roy J. McDonald 74.6% (26,972) | Patrick J. Phillips 25.4% (9,195) | 49.2pts |
| 2000 | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 95.0% (29,145) | Donald Hassig 5.0% (1,536) | 90.0pts |
| 1998 | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 60.6% (17,498) | Frank А. Pastizzo 34.4% (9,941) | 26.2pts |
| 1996 | Chloe Ann R. O'Neil 57.1% (22,114) | Jason Clark 40.6% (15,744) | 16.5pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Republican) | Mary Beth Walsh 55.1% (3,476) | James M. Fischer 44.9% (2,828) | 10.2pts |
| 2008 (Republican) | Tony Jordan 69.8% (4,471) | Christopher Laing 30.2% (1,934) | 39.6pts |
| 2002 (Republican) | Roy J. McDonald 71.8% (4,441) | Dan Shaw 28.2% (1,741) | 43.6pts |
| 2000 (Independence) | Dierdre Scozzafava 81.8% (9) | Miles Wolpin 18.2% (2) | 63.6pts |
| 2000 (Green) | Donald Hassig 50.0% (3) | Miles Wolpin 33.3% (2) | 16.7pts |
| 2000 (Working Families) | Dierdre Scozzafava 100.0% (3) | Uncontested | — |
| 1998 (Republican) | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 71.9% (2,651) | Gary L. Williams 28.1% (1,036) | 43.8pts |
| 1998 (Democratic) | Frank А. Pastizzo 40.6% (958) | Joey De Fazio 38.1% (898) | ⚡ 2.5pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-112
Base lean: R+14
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+14). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 10/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 112 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.