Asm. George Alvarez
George Alvarez represents AD-78, a heavily Democratic district carrying a D+62 registration lean, where he won his most recent 2024 general election with 73.5% of the vote against John Santiago, a margin of 47.0 points — a narrower result than the district's longer-term baseline under predecessor Jose Rivera, who routinely posted margins exceeding 75 points. Under all modeled electoral scenarios, Alvarez is rated Safe D for 2026, though the model notes limited contested election data and relies primarily on registration lean as its signal. The district is centered in a dense urban context with a 70.3% Hispanic population, a 30.3% poverty rate, a median household income of $42,572, and an exceptionally low homeownership rate of 8.1%, with registered Democrats comprising 69.2% of voters. In the 2025 session, Alvarez sponsored 31 bills with the largest concentrations in Education (3 bills) and a spread across Labor, Social Services, Tax, Real Property Tax, Public Authorities, Vehicle and Traffic, and Executive law (2 bills each); no committee chairmanship is listed in the brief, and no lobbying sector or committee overlap data is included.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from floor debate speeches, joint committee hearing transcripts, and sponsored legislation. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (24) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-78
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | George A. Alvarez 73.5% (17,254) | John Santiago 26.5% (6,229) | 47.0pts |
| 2022 | George A. Alvarez 80.9% (9,059) | Michael J. Dister 19.1% (2,140) | 61.8pts |
| 2020 | Jose Rivera 87.9% (25,920) | Michael Dister 12.1% (3,560) | 75.8pts |
| 2018 | Jose Rivera 93.4% (17,212) | Michael E. Walters 6.6% (1,209) | 86.8pts |
| 2016 | Jose Rivera 93.4% (21,915) | Luana G. Malavolta 5.0% (1,172) | 88.4pts |
| 2014 | Jose Rivera 89.4% (6,965) | Fernando P. Tirado 10.6% (828) | 78.8pts |
| 2012 | Jose Rivera 94.0% (20,241) | Luana G. Malavolta 4.6% (990) | 89.4pts |
| 2010 | Jose Rivera 90.3% (9,189) | William J. Sullivan 9.7% (990) | 80.6pts |
| 2008 | Jose Rivera 90.6% (18,452) | Jose А. Torres 8.3% (1,701) | 82.3pts |
| 2006 | Jose Rivera 89.7% (8,421) | William J. Sullivan 10.3% (970) | 79.4pts |
| 2004 | Jose Rivera 98.1% (16,281) | Richard Retcho 1.9% (315) | 96.2pts |
| 2002 | Jose Rivera 84.2% (7,061) | Luana Malavolta 15.8% (1,322) | 68.4pts |
| 2000 | Jose Rivera 95.0% (15,655) | Paul Dzung-Do 4.2% (689) | 90.8pts |
| 1998 | Roberto Ramirez 100.0% (10,566) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 | Roberto Ramirez 95.3% (14,507) | Paul Dzung-Do 4.7% (718) | 90.6pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (Democratic) | Jose Rivera 84.7% (5,803) | Francisco A. Spies 15.3% (1,049) | 69.4pts |
| 2016 (Democratic) | Jose Rivera 65.4% (2,236) | Ischia J. Bravo 34.6% (1,185) | 30.8pts |
| 2014 (Democratic) | Jose Rivera 77.8% (2,375) | Fernando P. Tirado 22.2% (677) | 55.6pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-78
Base lean: D+71
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+71). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 10/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 78 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity 2023
Counts reflect bi-monthly disclosure records filed with the Ethics Commission — not individual meetings.
Top Lobbying Issues
Top Organizations Lobbying This Member
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov. ★ Chair = lobbying issue overlaps with a committee this member chairs. ↔ Overlap = matches committee membership or bill sponsorship focus.