Asm. Kenneth Blankenbush
Kenneth Blankenbush has represented AD-117 as a Republican since 2011 and has run uncontested in every general election from 2012 through 2024, in a district carrying a base lean of R+31 that rates Safe R across all modeled electoral environments. The district is majority-white (87.6%), largely homeowning (68.1%), and Republican-registered at 47.2% against 22.0% Democratic enrollment, with a median household income of $66,751 and a poverty rate of 13.2%, reflecting a rural to small-town profile in upstate New York. In the 2025 session, Blankenbush sponsored 43 bills, with his heaviest concentration in Vehicle and Traffic (7 bills) and Insurance (6 bills), followed by Tax (3 bills) and smaller clusters across Correction, Criminal Procedure, Education, and Penal law. Top lobbying sectors active in the district and Blankenbush's legislative focus areas have not been flagged in this brief, though his Insurance sponsorship activity places him in proximity to one of the most heavily lobbied law areas in the chamber.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (5) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (20) AI
Questioned the necessity of the bill if nothing changes under current law, expressed concern about a single commissioner overruling federal recommendations when medical academies disagree, and criticized the bill's rapid advancement as politically motivated, citing references to Robert Kennedy and the Trump Administration in the sponsor memo.
Opposed the bill as unnecessary, arguing the required information is already on the Declaration Page and that mandating a summary in red ink adds costs without benefit since most consumers do not read policies and only care about exclusions after an accident; contended the bill would increase premiums rather than provide real consumer relief.
Countered with statistics showing pit bulls account for 64% of fatal dog bite incidents and argued insurance companies need breed-based underwriting to manage risk. Contended the bill handcuffs underwriters, forces risk-blind underwriting, and causes non-dog-owning policyholders to subsidize higher claims from dog-related incidents.
Argued that pit bulls and similar breeds account for 50-60 percent of dog bites according to police and hospitalization statistics, and that insurance companies should be able to adjust rates based on breed risk, similar to how they adjust auto insurance rates after accidents.
Contended that adding more wording to declarations pages will not clarify coverage and people will read less, not more. Also corrected the record that flood zones are federally determined, not defined by insurance companies.
Electoral History AD-117
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (41,447) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (33,221) | Uncontested | — |
| 2020 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (44,072) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (31,573) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (37,418) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (23,226) | Uncontested | — |
| 2012 | Kenneth Blankenbush 100.0% (32,992) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Marc W. Butler 100.0% (28,816) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Marc W. Butler 70.9% (30,813) | Daniel R. Carter 29.1% (12,667) | 41.8pts |
| 2006 | Marc W. Butler 100.0% (25,980) | Uncontested | — |
| 2004 | Marc W. Butler 91.9% (35,164) | Joan M. Carrig 8.1% (3,113) | 83.8pts |
| 2002 | Marc W. Butler 100.0% (29,515) | Uncontested | — |
| 2000 | Frances T. Sullivan 61.5% (27,430) | Terrence M. Hammill 38.5% (17,186) | 23.0pts |
| 1998 | Frances T. Sullivan 67.2% (21,817) | Shirley Taber 32.8% (10,663) | 34.4pts |
| 1996 | Frances T. Sullivan 65.2% (25,224) | Robert C. Bowman 34.8% (13,449) | 30.4pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-117
Base lean: R+31
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+31). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 117 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.