Asm. Stephen Hawley
Stephen Hawley has represented AD-139 since 2006 and holds one of the most secure Republican seats in the New York State Assembly, with a district registration lean of R+23 and a base electoral model of R+29; he ran uncontested in 2024, and his most recent contested general election in 2022 produced a 53.8-point margin over his opponent. The district is predominantly rural and heavily white (87.5%), with a 74.0% homeownership rate, a median household income of $73,144, and a voter registration breakdown of 44.4% Republican, 27.9% Independent, and 21.7% Democrat. Hawley's 2025 session sponsorship of 82 bills skews toward tax law (14 bills), penal law (7 bills), and a cluster of locally targeted areas including Genesee County, highway, labor, and vehicle and traffic law (3 bills each), reflecting both a conservative policy orientation and constituent-level district work. No committee chairmanship is listed in the brief, and no lobbying sector overlap data is included for this member.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (15) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (4) AI
Noted that most people do not read insurance policies and instead call their agents for explanations. Argued personal responsibility and agent consultation are more important than clearer documents.
Noted that most people do not read insurance policies and instead call their agents for explanations. Argued personal responsibility and agent consultation are more important than clearer documents.
Standardized definitions are ineffective because fewer than 10 percent of policyholders actually read their policies; effective understanding requires agents and company knowledge, not regulatory language.
The bill is anti-business and represents another mandate on insurance companies. It will force premium increases on policyholders and risks driving insurers from New York, as happened in California.
Electoral History AD-139
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Stephen M. Hawley 100.0% (50,330) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Stephen M. Hawley 76.9% (38,071) | Jennifer A.O. Keys 23.1% (11,428) | 53.8pts |
| 2020 | Stephen M. Hawley 91.4% (48,134) | Mark E. Glogowski 8.6% (4,506) | 82.8pts |
| 2018 | Stephen M. Hawley 91.7% (36,150) | Mark E. Glogowski 8.3% (3,291) | 83.4pts |
| 2016 | Stephen M. Hawley 100.0% (45,594) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Stephen M. Hawley 95.5% (29,170) | Mark E. Glogowski 4.5% (1,363) | 91.0pts |
| 2012 | Stephen M. Hawley 93.2% (39,886) | Mark E. Glogowski 6.8% (2,919) | 86.4pts |
| 2010 | Stephen M. Hawley 78.7% (27,384) | Christopher M. Barons 21.3% (7,426) | 57.4pts |
| 2008 | Stephen M. Hawley 100.0% (34,932) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | Stephen M. Hawley 66.0% (23,503) | Gary F. Kent 34.0% (12,096) | 32.0pts |
| 2004 | Charles H. Nesbitt 100.0% (37,354) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | Charles H. Nesbitt 100.0% (29,111) | Uncontested | — |
| 2000 | David E. Seaman 71.1% (31,676) | Ronald Dawson 28.9% (12,847) | 42.2pts |
| 1998 | David E. Seaman 75.7% (25,994) | Frank B. Serio 24.3% (8,328) | 51.4pts |
| 1996 | David E. Seaman 61.0% (27,830) | Richard C. Corica 39.0% (17,791) | 22.0pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 (Right to Life) | David Е. Seaman 100.0% (33) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 (Right to Life) | David E. Seaman 93.2% (68) | Richard Corica 6.8% (5) | 86.4pts |
Special Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Stephen M. Hawley 64.6% (6,250) | Gary F. Kent 35.4% (3,428) | 29.2pts |
| 1995 | David E. Seaman 50.1% (10,113) | Terry W. Kuehn 34.0% (6,865) | 16.1pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-139
Base lean: R+29
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+29). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 139 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.