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Asm. Josh Jensen

District 134 Republican First elected 2021

Josh Jensen represents AD-134, a Republican-leaning district with a base lean of R+4 and a voter registration breakdown of 33.5% Republican, 33.3% Independent, and 30.2% Democrat; he ran uncontested in both 2024 and 2022, and in his first contested run in 2020 won by a 19.3-point margin, though scenario modeling places the district as a toss-up in a favorable Democratic environment, flagging modest but real vulnerability in 2026. The district is predominantly suburban and homeowning — 74.1% homeownership, 79.5% white, with a median household income of $83,189 and a poverty rate of 9.8% — reflecting a stable middle-class constituency with a slight but not commanding Republican registration edge. In the 2025 session Jensen sponsored 89 bills, with his heaviest concentration in Education (14 bills), Public Health (8 bills), Penal and Tax law (6 bills each), and State Finance (4 bills), indicating a broad generalist portfolio with particular emphasis on education and health policy. Jensen recorded 1 joint hearing engagement and no committee chairmanship is listed in this brief.AI

Topic Focus AI

Healthcare Prior Authorization & Drug Access Hospital Operations & Closure Procedures Medicaid Managed Care Organization Taxation Pharmacy Benefit Manager Transparency Cancer Cluster Epidemiological Studies Horseshoe Crab Conservation & Biomedical Use Judicial Department Reorganization Manufactured Housing & Rent Regulation Medical Aid in Dying Safeguards Peer-to-Peer Vehicle Rental Insurance Requirements State Employee Telework Expansion Surrogacy Legal Protections & Family Formation

Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.

Key Issues AI

Cannabis 3 against A10140
Civil Service 2 for A4850
New York City Administrative Code 2 against A10461
Public Health 1 against A565
Education 1 against A183
Social Services 1 against A2188
Public Authorities 1 against A948
Insurance 1 against A1287
Education 14 bills
Public Health 8 bills
Penal 6 bills
Tax 6 bills
State Finance 4 bills
Executive 3 bills
Highway 3 bills

Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

Bills sponsored 89
Joint hearing appearances 1
Floor debate appearances 50
Years in office 5

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).

Bill Focus Areas

Education 14 bills
Public Health 8 bills
Penal 6 bills
Tax 6 bills
State Finance 4 bills
Executive 3 bills
Highway 3 bills
Legislative 3 bills

Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Floor Speeches: In Support (10) AI

A00387-B An act to amend the Public Health Law, in relation to requiring general hospitals to provide language assistance services 2025-05-14 PASSED

While expressing concerns about unfunded mandates on healthcare providers facing staffing and reimbursement challenges, acknowledged the need for culturally competent healthcare for non-English speakers, particularly in diverse communities across the State, and indicated support for the bill.

A04938 An act to amend the Labor Law, in relation to providing protections for telecommunications tower technicians 2025-05-05 PASSED
A4850 New York State Teleworking Expansion Act 2025-04-30 PASSED

Argued that state agencies repeatedly report difficulty recruiting qualified individuals and that telework legislation will help ensure efficient government operations while maintaining productivity. Noted the Assembly itself has successfully implemented teleworking.

A4850 New York State Teleworking Expansion Act 2025-04-30 PASSED

Argued the bill helps State agencies recruit and retain qualified employees in a competitive market. Noted State agencies report workforce shortages and that telework has proven effective in the Assembly itself, ensuring productivity while improving recruitment.

A04219 Cancer cluster study in cities and towns with population over 90,000 2024-06-03 PASSED

Supported the bill while noting concerns that the 90,000 population threshold may exclude small manufacturing communities below that size and may miss statistically significant clusters in villages within larger municipalities. Suggested future amendments to reconsider the population threshold.

Floor Speeches: In Opposition (40) AI

A01234 Vaccine recommendations and medical advisory standards 2026-04-21 PASSED

Questioned the transparency and methodology of the medical academies, asking whether they publish recommendations annually, conduct peer-reviewed research, or use other rigorous processes. Raised concerns about potential conflicts between different academies and whether the bill adequately addressed scenarios where organizations might disagree on vaccine recommendations.

A00340-A Manufactured home park rent increase justification requirements 2026-04-20 PASSED

Argued the bill, though well-intentioned, risks producing opposite outcomes by discouraging investment in roads, sewer systems, water infrastructure, and electrical upgrades. Warned that making it harder to recover costs creates rational incentive to invest less, leading to aging infrastructure and declining conditions. Called for a clear capital improvement recovery mechanism and differentiation between maintenance and capital investment.

A00340-A Manufactured Home Park Rent Increase Justification Requirements 2026-04-20 PASSED

Argued the bill, despite good intentions, creates unintended consequences by discouraging property owners from investing in capital improvements. Warned that making it harder to recover costs through rent increases will lead owners to invest less, resulting in aging infrastructure, declining property conditions, and ultimately harming the residents the bill aims to protect. Called for a clearer capital improvement recovery mechanism and differentiation between maintenance and investment.

A00382-A An act to amend the Racing, Pari-Mutuel Wagering and Breeding Law, in relation to advertising restrictions for mobile sports wagering licensees 2026-03-25 PASSED

Questioned the practical enforceability of requiring the New York hotline on nationally televised ads, noting companies may accept fines rather than comply, and expressed concern about the Gaming Commission's pre-approval authority over federally-regulated broadcast content.

A06757 Peer-to-peer vehicle rental insurance requirements 2025-06-16 PASSED

Opposed the bill because both companies negotiated the $1.25 million requirement to operate in New York, and changing it only four years later without any study showing it's unnecessary is premature. Noted that Turo makes $1 billion in profits and the change protects a large corporation at public risk.

Electoral History

General Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2024 Josh Jensen 100.0% (48,903) Uncontested
2022 Josh Jensen 100.0% (38,580) Uncontested
2020 Josh Jensen 57.8% (38,937) Carolyn D. Carrol 38.5% (25,924) 19.3pts
2018 Peter A. Lawrence 100.0% (37,758) Uncontested
2016 Peter A. Lawrence 100.0% (48,022) Uncontested
2014 Peter A. Lawrence 67.7% (24,269) Gary E. Pudup 32.3% (11,553) 35.4pts
2012 Bill Reilich 100.0% (45,841) Uncontested
2010 Bill Reilich 69.6% (27,407) David G. Zimmerman 30.4% (11,998) 39.2pts
2008 Bill Reilich 63.9% (33,513) David L. Garretson 36.1% (18,897) 27.8pts
2006 Bill Reilich 64.9% (25,017) Philip A. Fedele 35.1% (13,541) 29.8pts
2004 Bill Reilich 65.8% (33,494) Laurie E. Shea 34.2% (17,437) 31.6pts
2002 Bill Reilich 62.3% (24,573) Frederick J. Amato 37.7% (14,842) 24.6pts
2000 Joseph E. Robach 78.6% (36,824) William N. Faber 21.4% (10,050) 57.2pts
1998 Joseph Е. Robach 80.9% (29,689) Carolyn S. Rapp 19.1% (7,025) 61.8pts
1996 Joseph E. Robach 100.0% (36,987) Uncontested

Primary Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2020 (Democratic) Carolyn D. Carrol 78.9% (5,172) Dylan P. Dailor 21.1% (1,386) 57.8pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Vulnerability Index

Base lean: R+4

Favorable D
Toss-up
Neutral
Lean R
Favorable R
Likely R
  • Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
  • Ran uncontested in most recent election

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+4). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

District 134 Profile

Population 131,714
Median income $83,189
Median rent $1,182
Homeownership 74.1%
Education (BA+) 32.8%
Poverty rate 9.8%
Uninsured rate 2.6%
Unemployment rate 4.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Voter Registration

30%
34%
36%
Dem 30.2% Rep 33.5% Ind/Other 36.3%

Demographics

White 79.5%
Black 7.6%
Hispanic 7.7%
Asian 2.1%
Median age 41.8
Foreign born 6.3%
Limited English households 1.8%
Veterans 5.8%
Disability rate 14.3%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 78.2%
Public transit 0.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.