Asm. Brian Manktelow
Brian Manktelow has represented AD-130 since 2019 in a district that carries an R+12 registration lean — with Republicans holding 35,922 registrations (38.0%) against 24,488 Democrats (25.9%) — and his electoral standing is among the most secure in the chamber: his 2024 margin was 27.4 points, his 2022 margin was 31.8 points, and the 2026 scenario model rates the seat Safe R across all modeled environments against a base lean of R+24. The district is predominantly rural and homeowning, with a 76.8% homeownership rate, an 87.9% white population, a median household income of $80,249, and a poverty rate of 9.3%. In the 2025 session, Manktelow sponsored 35 bills, with his heaviest focus in Tax (4 bills), Penal (3 bills), and a cluster of two-bill areas spanning Environmental Conservation, Not-for-Profit Corporation, Public Health, Retirement, and Vehicle and Traffic law. No committee chairmanship is indicated in the available data.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (12) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (33) AI
After sponsor's response, stated he could not support the bill in good conscience because it could prevent a law-abiding citizen from defending themselves in an active shooter scenario if they needed to use another person's personalized weapon.
Raised concerns about collected microfibers ending up in landfills and potentially leaching into New York's freshwater systems including Lake Ontario and Finger Lakes. Questioned whether the bill simply moves the problem from water to landfills rather than solving it.
Worried that changing town boards could impose overly restrictive regulations on farmers, particularly in his district where black dirt farmland is adjacent to wetlands. Called for mandatory training for municipal boards before implementing the law to protect farmer flexibility.
Expressed concern about creating an unfunded mandate on local municipalities without offsetting funding or pilot programs. Questioned whether acceptable toxin levels exist naturally and whether the bill removes necessary tools from local highway departments' toolbox.
Expressed disappointment that the budget does not adequately address corrections officer retention and support, warning that bringing in young, inexperienced officers without retaining experienced staff would be 'a train wreck waiting to happen.'
Electoral History AD-130
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Brian D. Manktelow 63.7% (44,001) | James Schuler 36.3% (25,071) | 27.4pts |
| 2022 | Brian D. Manktelow 65.9% (35,607) | Scott Comegys 34.1% (18,431) | 31.8pts |
| 2020 | Brian D. Manktelow 69.0% (40,618) | Scott Comegys 31.0% (18,226) | 38.0pts |
| 2018 | Brian D. Manktelow 66.6% (29,280) | Scott Comegys 33.4% (14,679) | 33.2pts |
| 2016 | Robert C. Oaks 100.0% (44,195) | Uncontested | — |
| 2014 | Robert C. Oaks 100.0% (29,368) | Uncontested | — |
| 2012 | Robert C. Oaks 100.0% (40,469) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Sean T. Hanna 58.7% (26,907) | David R. Nachbar 41.3% (18,967) | 17.4pts |
| 2008 | Joe Errigo 100.0% (37,790) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | Joe Errigo 58.0% (25,507) | Daniel C. West 42.0% (18,501) | 16.0pts |
| 2004 | Joe Errigo 59.5% (33,815) | Christine W. Saltzberg 40.5% (23,050) | 19.0pts |
| 2002 | Joe Errigo 61.2% (26,044) | Christine W. Saltzberg 33.2% (14,113) | 28.0pts |
| 2000 | James G. Bacalles 100.0% (34,029) | Uncontested | — |
| 1998 | James G. Bacalles 100.0% (25,958) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 | James G. Bacalles 93.5% (29,069) | Patrick F. Brucie 6.5% (2,007) | 87.0pts |
| 1995 | James G. Bacalles 64.1% (14,883) | Robert J. Fitzsimmons 31.7% (7,354) | 32.4pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-130
Base lean: R+24
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+24). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 130 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.