Asm. Marcela Mitaynes
Marcela Mitaynes represents AD-51, a heavily Democratic district rated D+60 in voter registration, with Democrats holding 67.9% of registrations compared to 7.8% Republican, and is rated Safe D across all 2026 electoral scenarios. She has won her last two contested general elections by commanding margins — 54.2 points in 2024 and 57.4 points in 2022 — continuing a pattern of lopsided outcomes in a district previously held uncontested by Felix Ortiz. The district is a majority-Hispanic, renter-heavy urban constituency in New York City, with 45.3% Hispanic residents, a 27.3% homeownership rate, a 20.3% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,854. In the 2025 session, Mitaynes sponsored 10 bills with sponsorship spread across areas including Private Housing Finance, Real Property Actions and Proceedings, Environmental Conservation, and Executive law, reflecting a legislative focus consistent with housing and urban policy concerns.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (10) AI
Debate centered on the appropriateness of increasing HDC bonding authority by $1 billion from $19 billion to $20 billion. Assemblymember Ra questioned the need for the increase given that $1.67 billion in bonding authority remained available, and expressed concern about the large amount of debt being issued. He noted that similar increases had been made in 2023 ($1 billion), 2022 ($1 billion), and 2021 ($1.5 billion). Mitaynes explained the increase supports affordable housing projects in the pipeline and works in partnership with HPD and NYCHA. Ra stated that while housing development requires debt issuance, some colleagues were concerned about the cumulative debt level.
Explained that the increase supports affordable housing projects in the pipeline and works in partnership with HPD and NYCHA. Stated that HDC is in good standing and that the increase does not result in additional state-supported debt.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-51
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Marcela Mitaynes 77.1% (22,007) | Erik S. Frankel 22.9% (6,554) | 54.2pts |
| 2022 | Marcela Mitaynes 78.7% (15,174) | Timothy Peterson 21.3% (4,114) | 57.4pts |
| 2020 | Marcela Mitaynes 100.0% (27,954) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Felix W. Ortiz 100.0% (20,738) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Felix W. Ortiz 88.0% (24,181) | Henry Lallave 12.0% (3,288) | 76.0pts |
| 2014 | Felix W. Ortiz 88.0% (7,887) | Sandra A. Palacios-Serrano 12.0% (1,073) | 76.0pts |
| 2012 | Felix W. Ortiz 87.8% (18,918) | Henry Lallave 12.2% (2,635) | 75.6pts |
| 2010 | Felix W. Ortiz 83.7% (8,499) | Henry Lallave 16.3% (1,655) | 67.4pts |
| 2008 | Felix W. Ortiz 86.9% (16,302) | Luis А. Garcia 11.5% (2,161) | 75.4pts |
| 2006 | Felix W. Ortiz 86.3% (7,431) | Washington G. Artus 13.7% (1,184) | 72.6pts |
| 2004 | Felix W. Ortiz 84.2% (14,442) | Allan E. Romaguera 15.8% (2,710) | 68.4pts |
| 2002 | Felix W. Ortiz 81.5% (6,829) | Washington G. Artus 18.5% (1,552) | 63.0pts |
| 2000 | Felix W. Ortiz 90.9% (18,683) | Hilario LaBoy 9.1% (1,866) | 81.8pts |
| 1998 | Felix W. Ortiz 88.1% (10,583) | Thomas J. Faulkner 11.9% (1,431) | 76.2pts |
| 1996 | Felix W. Ortiz 85.9% (13,773) | Joseph А. English 8.9% (1,430) | 77.0pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (Democratic) | Marcela Mitaynes 34.9% (3,591) | Felix W. Ortiz 32.3% (3,319) | ⚡ 2.6pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-51
Base lean: D+70
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+70). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 51 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.