Asm. Keith Powers
Keith Powers represents AD-74, a D+60 Manhattan district where Democrats hold 68.2% of voter registrations against just 8.5% Republican, and where the seat has been Safe D across all modeled 2026 scenarios; Powers himself ran uncontested in 2024, continuing a pattern for the district in which prior holders won with margins ranging from 66.2 to 76.2 points in contested races. The district is a high-density, majority-renter urban constituency with a median household income of $121,922, a 73.3% bachelor's degree or higher attainment rate, a homeownership rate of just 22.6%, and a racial composition of 58.4% white, 16.0% Hispanic, 15.9% Asian, and 7.3% Black. In his first session, Powers has sponsored 12 bills, with the heaviest concentration in New York City Administrative Code (4 bills), followed by Election and Tax law (2 bills each), and single bills spanning Business Corporation, Education, Environmental Conservation, and Penal law. Top lobbying sectors active in the district context and the breadth of his NYC Administrative Code focus signal alignment with municipal governance and local regulatory priorities.AI
Topic Focus AI
No floor debate appearances found in our transcript archive for this member. Topic extraction requires at least one recorded speech.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (2) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-74
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Harvey D. Epstein 100.0% (42,651) | Uncontested | — |
| 2022 | Harvey Epstein 83.1% (30,173) | Bryan Cooper 16.9% (6,138) | 66.2pts |
| 2020 | Harvey Epstein 100.0% (46,749) | Uncontested | — |
| 2018 | Harvey D. Epstein 87.4% (36,535) | Bryan Cooper 11.2% (4,694) | 76.2pts |
| 2016 | Brian P. Kavanagh 81.7% (39,878) | Frank Scala 15.1% (7,363) | 66.6pts |
| 2014 | Brian P. Kavanagh 85.0% (16,881) | Bryan A. Cooper 15.0% (2,973) | 70.0pts |
| 2012 | Brian P. Kavanagh 100.0% (34,875) | Uncontested | — |
| 2010 | Brian P. Kavanagh 84.2% (23,071) | Dena Winokur 15.8% (4,332) | 68.4pts |
| 2008 | Brian P. Kavanagh 85.3% (38,777) | Bryan А. Cooper 14.7% (6,684) | 70.6pts |
| 2006 | Brian P. Kavanagh 74.6% (21,875) | Sylvia M. Friedman 13.2% (3,855) | 61.4pts |
| 2004 | Steven Sanders 84.7% (40,606) | David Berkowitz 15.3% (7,354) | 69.4pts |
| 2002 | Steven Sanders 76.3% (20,447) | Christopher B. Spuches 19.8% (5,309) | 56.5pts |
| 2000 | Carmen E. Arroyo 95.8% (19,389) | Emmanuel Wansi 2.9% (588) | 92.9pts |
| 1998 | Carmen E. Arroyo 97.0% (12,763) | Carmen Е. Arroyo 1.8% (234) | 95.2pts |
| 1996 | Carmen E. Arroyo 97.9% (18,275) | Agustin Alamo 2.1% (395) | 95.8pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 (Democratic) | Harvey D. Epstein 63.0% (10,517) | Akshay A. Vaishampayan 19.2% (3,202) | 43.8pts |
Special Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Harvey Epstein 90.1% (4,157) | Bryan Cooper 5.4% (248) | 84.7pts |
| 2006 | Sylvia M. Friedman 70.9% (2,728) | Frank J. Scala 29.1% (1,120) | 41.8pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-74
Base lean: D+69
- Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
- Ran uncontested in most recent election
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+69). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/20/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 74 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.