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Asm. Robert Smullen

District 118 Republican First elected 2019

Robert Smullen (R) represents AD-118, a heavily Republican district carrying an R+28 registration lean and a base electoral lean of R+34, where he has run uncontested in each of his last three general elections (2020, 2022, 2024) and is rated Safe R across all 2026 modeled scenarios; his only contested race was his initial 2018 victory with 63.4% of the vote against Keith A. Rubino's 36.6%, a margin of 26.8 points. The district is demographically homogeneous and rural in character, with a population of 136,440 that is 91.3% white, a homeownership rate of 75.1%, a median household income of $67,075, and a bachelor's degree attainment rate of 22.4%; Republicans hold a commanding registration advantage at 48.4% to Democrats' 20.7%, with Independents comprising 24.2%. In the 2025 session, Smullen sponsored 51 bills, with his heaviest concentrations in Tax (9 bills), Education (7 bills), Environmental Conservation (3 bills), and Penal and Public Health (2 bills each). Top lobbying sectors active in his district have not been specified in the available data, though his bill sponsorship portfolio spans tax, education, and public health domains.AI

Topic Focus AI

Second Amendment Rights & Firearms Regulation Rural Equity & Upstate Representation State Fiscal Management & Debt Reduction Traffic Safety & Organ Donation Education Wildlife Management & Hunting Regulation Campus Hate Crime Reporting & Prevention Constitutional Limits on Federal Health Mandates Judicial Representation & Court Jurisdiction Allocation Organ Donation & Transplantation Programs Organ Donor Registration Through Tax Filings Rural Broadband & Cellular Infrastructure School Bus Fleet Modernization Standards

Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.

Key Issues AI

Highway 1 for A8134
Executive 1 against A1191
Arts and Cultural Affairs 1 against A8802
Tax 9 bills
Education 7 bills
Environmental Conservation 3 bills
Economic Development 2 bills
Penal 2 bills
Public Health 2 bills
Public Officers 2 bills
Taxation 2 bills

Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.

Legislative Activity (2025–2026)

Bills sponsored 51
Floor debate appearances 36
Years in office 7

Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).

Bill Focus Areas

Tax 9 bills
Education 7 bills
Environmental Conservation 3 bills
Economic Development 2 bills
Penal 2 bills
Public Health 2 bills
Public Officers 2 bills
Taxation 2 bills

Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.

Floor Speeches: In Support (18) AI

A07713 Hamilton County recording tax extension 2025-06-17 PASSED
A07902-C An act in relation to authorizing the City of Little Falls, in the County of Herkimer, to finance certain deficits by the issuance of bonds 2025-06-16 PASSED
A07605 An act to amend the Tax Law, in relation to extending the authorization granted to the County of Montgomery to impose an additional one percent sales and compensating use taxes. 2025-06-13 PASSED
A08896 Aid to Localities Budget Technical Changes 2025-06-12 PASSED

Noted this was a necessary budget bill and expressed relief that the state is finally liquidating pandemic-era UI debt that New York businesses have been paying for over four years, despite available surpluses.

A03938-B An act to amend the Transportation Law, in relation to enacting the 'Alexander John Smullen Traffic Safety Memorial Law' 2025-06-11 PASSED

Smullen introduced the bill in memory of his son, Alexander John Smullen, and thanked colleagues and leadership for passing it unanimously. He expressed hope the legislation would help families remember loved ones and serve as a reminder of highway safety dangers.

Floor Speeches: In Opposition (18) AI

A09217 An act to amend the Penal Law and Education Law in relation to excluding certain medication from being deemed unlawful to prescribe or dispense; and to amend the Education Law in relation to excluding certain medication from being deemed misbranded. 2026-01-28

Challenged the constitutionality of the bill, arguing New York cannot ignore FDA regulations codified under U.S. law in favor of WHO guidance from an unelected foreign official. Noted the U.S. formally withdrew from the WHO on January 22, 2025, making reliance on WHO standards problematic. Questioned whether the bill violates treaty requirements and constitutional sovereignty principles.

A1191 Safer Weapons, Safer Homes Act - An act to amend the Executive Law, in relation to defining personalized handguns and requiring the Division of Criminal Justice Services to certify the technological viability of personalized handguns and to establish requirements related to the sale of personalized handguns 2025-05-14

Questioned whether DCJS is the appropriate expert agency versus the federal ATF, and raised concerns about interstate commerce implications. Challenged the statistics cited in the sponsor's memo regarding stolen firearms. Expressed worry about open-ended regulatory authority granted to DCJS without further legislation, particularly given the nascent state of the technology. Argued that if personalized handguns are truly viable, market forces alone would drive adoption without state regulation, and that criminals would ignore regulations regardless.

A03002 Budget Bill — Debt Service. An act making appropriations for the legal requirements of the State debt service and lease purchase payments and other special contractual obligations. 2025-03-27 PASSED

Argued that New York's debt situation is a 'red light warning' with per-capita debt of nearly $3,000 and total authority debt of $325 billion. Called for strategic planning and spending reductions rather than continued borrowing, noting New York ranks last in economic outlook while ranking first in taxes.

A03002 Budget Bill — Debt Service. An act making appropriations for the legal requirements of the State debt service and lease purchase payments and other special contractual obligations. 2025-03-27 PASSED

Smullen argued the state faces a 'red light warning situation' with $56-65 billion in state debt plus $325 billion in public authority debt, totaling nearly $17,000 per capita when combined. He urged the body to reduce spending and pay down debt rather than continue borrowing, noting New York ranks last in economic outlook while ranking first in taxes.

A00439 An act to amend the General Business Law, in relation to removing dealers of ammunition from certain provisions regarding the use of certain merchant category-codes by payment card networks 2025-03-19 PASSED

Contended the chapter amendment actually broadens the law by expanding application to all "dealer of firearms" sales. Raised concerns about who has access to MCC code data and whether warrants are required, characterizing it as an unconstitutional attempt to create a firearm registry.

Electoral History

General Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2024 Robert J. Smullen 100.0% (50,250) Uncontested
2022 Robert J. Smullen 100.0% (39,263) Uncontested
2020 Robert J. Smullen 100.0% (48,098) Uncontested
2018 Robert J. Smullen 63.4% (28,209) Keith A. Rubino 36.6% (16,263) 26.8pts
2016 Marc W. Butler 100.0% (42,565) Uncontested
2014 Marc W. Butler 100.0% (27,976) Uncontested
2012 Marc W. Butler 68.1% (26,685) Joseph Chilelli 31.9% (12,503) 36.2pts
2010 Addie J. Russell 55.3% (18,341) David W. Forsythe 44.7% (14,809) 10.6pts
2008 Addie Jenne Russell 58.8% (24,843) Robert W. Cantwell, III 41.2% (17,423) 17.6pts
2006 Darrel J. Aubertine 100.0% (22,114) Uncontested
2004 Darrel J. Aubertine 65.3% (29,912) Scott A. Gray 34.7% (15,898) 30.6pts
2002 Darrel J. Aubertine 50.4% (17,494) Patricia A. Ritchie 46.5% (16,134) 3.9pts
2000 Michael J. Bragman 100.0% (38,773) Uncontested
1998 Michael J. Bragman 78.9% (30,517) Steven C. Kempisty 17.0% (6,561) 61.9pts
1996 Michael J. Bragman 77.7% (37,714) Damian Ulatowski 22.3% (10,814) 55.4pts

Primary Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2018 (Republican) Robert J. Smullen 57.8% (4,499) Patrick Vincent 42.2% (3,279) 15.6pts
2018 (Conservative) Robert J. Smullen 53.3% (98) Patrick Vincent 46.7% (86) 6.6pts
2016 (Republican) Marc W. Butler 66.0% (5,595) Patrick Vincent 34.0% (2,877) 32.0pts
2002 (Republican) Patricia A. Ritchie 45.4% (2,878) David A. Renzi 29.0% (1,839) 16.4pts
2002 (Green) Darrel J. Aubertine 42.9% (3) Patricia Ritchie 14.3% (1) 28.6pts

Special Elections

Year Winner Runner-up Margin
2002 William E. Sanford 54.8% (8,684) Lee J. Plavoukos 45.2% (7,172) 9.6pts

Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.

Vulnerability Index

Base lean: R+34

Favorable D
Safe R
Neutral
Safe R
Favorable R
Safe R
  • Limited contested election data — registration lean used as primary signal
  • Ran uncontested in most recent election

Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+34). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.

District 118 Profile

Population 136,440
Median income $67,075
Median rent $868
Homeownership 75.1%
Education (BA+) 22.4%
Poverty rate 13.1%
Uninsured rate 5.4%
Unemployment rate 3.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).

Voter Registration

21%
48%
31%
Dem 20.7% Rep 48.4% Ind/Other 31.0%

Demographics

White 91.3%
Black 1.3%
Hispanic 3.2%
Asian 0.6%
Median age 43.9
Foreign born 2.2%
Limited English households 0.6%
Veterans 7.8%
Disability rate 16.5%

Commute Mode

Drive alone 78.2%
Public transit 0.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.

Lobbying Activity

No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.

Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.