Asm. Albert A. Stirpe
Albert A. Stirpe has represented AD-127, a D+3 district in Central New York, since 2009, and has posted consistent but not dominant margins in recent general elections — 13.2 points over Timothy R. Kelly in 2024 and 11.2 points in 2022, though his 2020 race fell to a competitive 9.2-point margin and his 2014 contest was decided by just 5.4 points; the 2026 scenario model rates the seat Likely D at base, sliding to Lean D in a favorable Republican environment. The district is majority-white (86.6%), suburban and homeowner-heavy (76.7% homeownership), with a median household income of $97,621 and a tight registration split — 32.8% Democrat, 30.3% Republican, and 30.9% Independent — reflecting its marginal D+3 lean. In the 2025 session, Stirpe sponsored 77 bills, with his heaviest concentrations in Alcoholic Beverage Control (13 bills), Tax (9 bills), Economic Development (7 bills), and Cannabis (6 bills), alongside smaller clusters in Education, General Municipal, Insurance, and Public Health.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (39) AI
Floor Speeches: In Opposition AI
No recorded floor speeches in opposition found in our transcript archive for this member.
Electoral History AD-127
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 56.6% (41,280) | Timothy R. Kelly 43.4% (31,710) | 13.2pts |
| 2022 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 55.6% (31,079) | Karen Ayoub 44.4% (24,858) | 11.2pts |
| 2020 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 54.6% (42,219) | Mark R. Venesky 45.4% (35,150) | ⚡ 9.2pts |
| 2018 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 58.0% (33,946) | Nicholas R. Paro 42.0% (24,567) | 16.0pts |
| 2016 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 56.1% (36,604) | Vincent Giordano 37.7% (24,568) | 18.4pts |
| 2014 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 52.7% (23,220) | Robert J. Demarco 47.3% (20,814) | ⚡ 5.4pts |
| 2012 | Albert A. Stirpe, Jr. 55.0% (34,370) | Don Miller 45.0% (28,091) | 10.0pts |
| 2010 | Peter D. Lopez 100.0% (31,561) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Peter D. Lopez 100.0% (34,054) | Uncontested | — |
| 2006 | Peter D. Lopez 55.0% (22,215) | W. Scott Trees 45.0% (18,194) | 10.0pts |
| 2004 | Daniel L. Hooker 55.0% (29,659) | Kevin P. Neary 45.0% (24,304) | 10.0pts |
| 2002 | Daniel L. Hooker 58.6% (21,641) | Dixie Lou Baldrey 31.1% (11,474) | 27.5pts |
| 2000 | George H. Winner, Jr. 84.9% (27,495) | Sidney S. Graubard 15.1% (4,896) | 69.8pts |
| 1998 | George H. Winner, Jr. 100.0% (25,306) | Uncontested | — |
| 1996 | George H. Winner, Jr. 90.8% (25,710) | David W. Cortland 9.2% (2,618) | 81.6pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Republican) | Vincent Giordano 51.4% (913) | Michael J. Becallo 48.6% (864) | ⚡ 2.8pts |
| 2002 (Republican) | Daniel L. Hooker 33.9% (2,605) | William E. Cherry 33.2% (2,549) | ⚡ 0.7pts |
| 2000 (Republican) | George H. Winner, Jr. 75.0% (4,781) | Sidney S. Graubard 25.0% (1,596) | 50.0pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-127
Base lean: D+9
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (D+9). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 127 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.