Asm. Mary Beth Walsh
Mary Beth Walsh represents AD-112, a Republican-leaning district rated R+6 by voter registration (36,508 Republicans at 34.8%, versus 30,032 Democrats at 28.6%), with 31,873 independents comprising 30.3% of registrants. She has held the seat since 2017 and has won each contested race by comfortable margins — 17.8 points in 2024, 19.2 points in 2022, and 15.6 points in 2020 — with her 2026 outlook modeled at a base lean of R+14 and rated at minimum Likely R across all electoral environments. The district is predominantly suburban and affluent, with a median household income of $108,887, a 78.2% homeownership rate, a 4.8% poverty rate, and a population that is 86.9% white with 47.0% holding a bachelor's degree or higher. In the 2025 session Walsh sponsored 49 bills, with her heaviest concentration in Family Court Act legislation (3 bills), followed by Legislative and Retirement law areas (2 bills each), and single bills spanning Criminal Procedure, Education, General Business, General Municipal, and Constitutional amendments.AI
Topic Focus AI
Topics extracted by AI from joint Senate-Assembly committee hearing transcripts and floor debate. Tag size reflects number of supporting citations.
Key Issues AI
Key issue areas derived from floor debate speeches and sponsored bill law sections.
Legislative Activity (2025–2026)
Bill sponsorship from NYS Open Legislation API. Hearing appearances from joint Senate-Assembly committee transcripts. Floor debate from official Assembly session transcripts (Granicus, 2023–present).
Bill Focus Areas 2025–2026
Grouped by law section from sponsored Assembly bills. Source: NYS Open Legislation API.
Floor Speeches: In Support (25) AI
Stated that the Minority Conference would support the Motion to Discharge and urged a yes vote based on the reasons raised by the previous speaker.
While expressing reservations about preemptive regulation, Walsh stated she would support the bill because it makes sense to periodically review standards for appropriateness.
Supported the bill as addressing recruitment and retention challenges for correctional officers, though noted larger systemic issues remain to be addressed.
Supported the bill for extending the length of time sexual offense evidence must be kept in secure storage. Noted that recent initiatives have significantly reduced the backlog of untested kits in the state.
Supported applying casino advertising rules to mobile sports wagering and the New York helpline requirement, noting the industry can satisfy the requirement through various methods including listing multiple state numbers as long as New York's is included.
Floor Speeches: In Opposition (25) AI
Raised extensive concerns about fiscal impact ($21 million estimated), potential consumer cost increases (12% according to some studies), lack of budget appropriation for the reporting system, and whether the state should duplicate federal FDA oversight. Questioned whether the bill could discourage businesses from operating in New York and whether alternatives exist given federal action on Red Dye No. 3.
Explained the minority would vote against the bill, characterizing it as an overreaction to the current federal administration. Noted concerns from the autism and disabilities community about the bill and argued that vaccine decisions should remain individual choices rather than mandated by the state.
Stated the Minority Conference opposes the bill, noting the original bill-in-chief passed with bipartisan opposition (94-50) and the technical changes do not make it more palatable to those who voted against it previously.
Opposed the bill on principle, arguing that while individual mandates may be small, they collectively increase health insurance premiums. She noted the inconsistency of mandating private insurers cover acupuncture while the State does not cover it in the Essential Plan.
Stated the Minority Conference opposes the bill and encouraged colleagues to vote no, noting the underlying Shield Law passed with bipartisan opposition and the chapter amendment does not address those concerns.
Electoral History AD-112
General Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mary Beth Walsh 58.9% (44,288) | Joe Seeman 41.1% (30,956) | 17.8pts |
| 2022 | Mary Beth Walsh 59.6% (35,654) | Andrew McAdoo 40.4% (24,141) | 19.2pts |
| 2020 | Mary Beth Walsh 57.8% (46,189) | Joseph S. Seeman 42.2% (33,750) | 15.6pts |
| 2018 | Mary Beth Walsh 100.0% (43,666) | Uncontested | — |
| 2016 | Mary Beth Walsh 61.9% (41,267) | Michael R. Godlewski 38.1% (25,399) | 23.8pts |
| 2014 | James N. Tedisco 76.5% (33,805) | Jared B. Hickey 23.5% (10,400) | 53.0pts |
| 2012 | James N. Tedisco 68.1% (42,929) | Michele E. Draves 31.9% (20,142) | 36.2pts |
| 2010 | Tony Jordan 100.0% (32,441) | Uncontested | — |
| 2008 | Tony Jordan 56.6% (31,264) | lan McGaughey 43.4% (23,990) | 13.2pts |
| 2006 | Roy J. McDonald 64.2% (26,619) | David J. Carter 35.8% (14,874) | 28.4pts |
| 2004 | Roy J. McDonald 100.0% (39,162) | Uncontested | — |
| 2002 | Roy J. McDonald 74.6% (26,972) | Patrick J. Phillips 25.4% (9,195) | 49.2pts |
| 2000 | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 95.0% (29,145) | Donald Hassig 5.0% (1,536) | 90.0pts |
| 1998 | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 60.6% (17,498) | Frank А. Pastizzo 34.4% (9,941) | 26.2pts |
| 1996 | Chloe Ann R. O'Neil 57.1% (22,114) | Jason Clark 40.6% (15,744) | 16.5pts |
Primary Elections
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Republican) | Mary Beth Walsh 55.1% (3,476) | James M. Fischer 44.9% (2,828) | 10.2pts |
| 2008 (Republican) | Tony Jordan 69.8% (4,471) | Christopher Laing 30.2% (1,934) | 39.6pts |
| 2002 (Republican) | Roy J. McDonald 71.8% (4,441) | Dan Shaw 28.2% (1,741) | 43.6pts |
| 2000 (Independence) | Dierdre Scozzafava 81.8% (9) | Miles Wolpin 18.2% (2) | 63.6pts |
| 2000 (Green) | Donald Hassig 50.0% (3) | Miles Wolpin 33.3% (2) | 16.7pts |
| 2000 (Working Families) | Dierdre Scozzafava 100.0% (3) | Uncontested | — |
| 1998 (Republican) | Dierdre K. Scozzafava 71.9% (2,651) | Gary L. Williams 28.1% (1,036) | 43.8pts |
| 1998 (Democratic) | Frank А. Pastizzo 40.6% (958) | Joey De Fazio 38.1% (898) | ⚡ 2.5pts |
Source: NYS Board of Elections certified results. ⚡ = margin under 10 pts. District history reflects 2022 redistricted boundaries.
Vulnerability Index AD-112
Base lean: R+14
Scenario model: ±5pt national environment shift applied to district base lean (R+14). Base lean blends voter registration (40%) with recent contested general election margins (60%), using up to the last 4 general elections with margins under 40 points. Ratings: Safe D/R = 15+ pts, Likely = 8–14 pts, Lean = 3–7 pts, Toss-up = within 2 pts (Assembly districts are smaller and more homogeneous than Senate districts, so tighter thresholds are used). Generic ballot from Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver), as of 5/21/2026. Not a prediction — reflects structural competitiveness under different cycle environments.
District 112 Profile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2024).
Voter Registration
Demographics
Commute Mode
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates (2024). Race and ethnicity figures may not sum to 100% — Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity category that overlaps with racial groups.
Lobbying Activity
No lobbying disclosures on record for this member in the available dataset.
Source: NY Commission on Ethics and Lobbying in Government via data.ny.gov.