Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+37
Registered Voters
151,726
Enrolled D / R
52.3% / 15.5%
D Overperformance
+42.8 pts
Turnout (2024)
40.1%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +42.8pts vs. D+37 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 59.5% margin 40.1% turnout D share: 79.8%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
John C. Liu D 48,470 Democratic: 43,841 · Working Families: 4,629 79.8%
Juan M. Pagan R 12,299 Conservative: 12,299 20.2%
Total 60,769 of 151,726 registered (40.1% turnout)
2022 General 15.4% margin 32.8% turnout D share: 57.7%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
John C. Liu D 28,715 Democratic: 26,601 · Working Families: 2,114 57.7%
Ruben D. Cruz, II R 21,033 Republican: 19,326 · Conservative: 1,422 · Independence: 285 42.3%
Total 49,748 of 151,726 registered (32.8% turnout)