Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+12
Registered Voters
226,454
Enrolled D / R
39.2% / 26.8%
D Overperformance
+41.6 pts
Turnout (2024)
73.0%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +41.6pts vs. D+12 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 7.2% margin 73.0% turnout D share: 53.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Peter B. Harckham D 88,582 Democratic: 84,088 · Working Families: 4,494 53.6%
Gina M. Arena R 76,660 Republican: 69,751 · Conservative: 6,909 46.4%
Total 165,242 of 226,454 registered (73.0% turnout)
2022 General 6.8% margin 54.9% turnout D share: 53.4%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Peter B. Harckham D 66,419 Democratic: 62,027 · Working Families: 4,392 53.4%
Gina M. Arena R 57,925 Republican: 57,925 46.6%
Total 124,344 of 226,454 registered (54.9% turnout)