Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+12
Registered Voters
234,135
Enrolled D / R
38.4% / 26.0%
D Overperformance
+46.6 pts
Turnout (2024)
74.4%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +46.6pts vs. D+12 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 17.3% margin 74.4% turnout D share: 58.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Michelle Hinchey D 102,154 Democratic: 88,604 · Working Families: 13,550 58.6%
Patrick Sheehan R 72,022 Republican: 62,725 · Conservative: 9,297 41.4%
Total 174,176 of 234,135 registered (74.4% turnout)
2022 General 5.4% margin 60.3% turnout D share: 52.7%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Michelle Hinchey D 74,373 Democratic: 64,692 · Working Families: 9,681 52.7%
Susan J. Serino R 66,735 Republican: 56,755 · Conservative: 8,962 · Independence: 1,018 47.3%
Total 141,108 of 234,135 registered (60.3% turnout)