Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+11
Registered Voters
234,760
Enrolled D / R
40.7% / 29.5%
D Overperformance
+21.5 pts
Turnout (2024)
53.0%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +21.5pts vs. D+11 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 35.0% margin 53.0% turnout D share: 32.5%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Patricia M. Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick R 83,902 Republican: 77,632 · Conservative: 6,270 67.5%
James Lynch D 40,422 Democratic: 40,422 32.5%
Total 124,324 of 234,760 registered (53.0% turnout)
2022 General 12.3% margin 47.9% turnout D share: 43.9%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Patricia M. Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick R 63,136 Republican: 58,217 · Conservative: 4,919 56.1%
Kenneth M. Moore D 49,315 Democratic: 47,885 · Working Families: 1,430 43.9%
Total 112,451 of 234,760 registered (47.9% turnout)