General Elections NYC Primary RCV RCV Analytics
Ballots in Contest
15,592
Elimination Rounds
6
Exhausted Ballots
4,142 (26.6% of contest ballots)
Winner
Elsie Encarnacion
Final Round Share
58.6% of active
Margin of Victory
1,968 (17.2pts of active)
Elsie Encarnacion led from the start with 28.9% of first-choice votes and held on through 6 rounds of elimination. The largest transfer came when Clarisa M. Alayeto was eliminated, sending 1,083 votes (35% of their ballots) to Elsie Encarnacion. The final margin was 1,968 votes (17.2 pts of active ballots), while 4,142 exhausted ballots (26.6%) exceeded that margin — meaning those voters' preferences could in theory have influenced the outcome.
Notable: 4,142 ballots exhausted before the final round — more than the winner's final-round margin of 1,968 votes. This means exhausted voters' preferences, had they ranked additional candidates, could in theory have been enough to affect the outcome — though only if they had ranked in ways that changed the transfers.
How to read this: Ranked Choice Voting eliminates the last-place candidate each round, transferring their ballots to each voter's next ranked choice still in the race. Ballots in contest = voters who ranked at least one candidate here. Active votes = ballots still assigned to a remaining candidate in a given round. Exhausted ballots = ballots where all ranked choices have been eliminated. Vote counts shown in each round reflect votes before that round's elimination. Ties broken alphabetically by candidate ID (NYC BOE uses random draw; ties are rare at scale).

First-Choice Votes

Candidate First-Choice Votes Share of Contest Ballots Result
Elsie Encarnacion 4,511 28.9% Won
Wilfredo Lopez 2,879 18.5%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,378 15.3% Elim. R5
Raymond Santana 1,817 11.7% Elim. R4
Rosa G. Diaz 1,582 10.1% Elim. R3
Federico Colon 1,322 8.5% Elim. R2
Nicholas A. Reyes 1,103 7.1% Elim. R1

Vote Share — First Choice vs. Final Round

Solid lines = candidates who reached the final round (left dot = Round 1 share, right dot = final-round share). Dashed lines = candidates eliminated before the final round (line ends at elimination, not final round).

Round-by-Round Results

Each bar shows how many active votes each candidate holds going into that round. Step through rounds or press Play to watch candidates gain and lose votes as the race unfolds.

Round 1
Round 1 Eliminated: Nicholas A. Reyes 15,592 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Elsie Encarnacion 4,511 28.9%
Wilfredo Lopez 2,879 18.5%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,378 15.3%
Raymond Santana 1,817 11.7%
Rosa G. Diaz 1,582 10.1%
Federico Colon 1,322 8.5%
Nicholas A. Reyes 1,103 7.1% Exhausted: 451 · Elsie Encarnacion: 162 · Rosa G. Diaz: 121 · Wilfredo Lopez: 115 · Raymond Santana: 109 · Clarisa M. Alayeto: 85 · Federico Colon: 60
Round 2 Eliminated: Federico Colon 15,141 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Elsie Encarnacion 4,673 30.9%
Wilfredo Lopez 2,994 19.8%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,463 16.3%
Raymond Santana 1,926 12.7%
Rosa G. Diaz 1,703 11.2%
Federico Colon 1,382 9.1% Exhausted: 634 · Raymond Santana: 365 · Wilfredo Lopez: 152 · Rosa G. Diaz: 125 · Clarisa M. Alayeto: 53 · Elsie Encarnacion: 53
Round 3 Eliminated: Rosa G. Diaz 14,507 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Elsie Encarnacion 4,726 32.6%
Wilfredo Lopez 3,146 21.7%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,516 17.3%
Raymond Santana 2,291 15.8%
Rosa G. Diaz 1,828 12.6% Exhausted: 665 · Elsie Encarnacion: 441 · Clarisa M. Alayeto: 274 · Raymond Santana: 234 · Wilfredo Lopez: 214
Round 4 Eliminated: Raymond Santana 13,842 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Elsie Encarnacion 5,167 37.3%
Wilfredo Lopez 3,360 24.3%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,790 20.2%
Raymond Santana 2,525 18.2% Exhausted: 955 · Wilfredo Lopez: 787 · Elsie Encarnacion: 459 · Clarisa M. Alayeto: 324
Round 5 Eliminated: Clarisa M. Alayeto 12,887 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Elsie Encarnacion 5,626 43.7%
Wilfredo Lopez 4,147 32.2%
Clarisa M. Alayeto 3,114 24.2% Exhausted: 1,437 · Elsie Encarnacion: 1,083 · Wilfredo Lopez: 594
Round 6 Final 11,450 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active
Elsie Encarnacion 6,709 58.6%
Wilfredo Lopez 4,741 41.4%

Where Did Eliminated Candidates' Votes Go?

When a candidate is eliminated, their supporters' ballots transfer to whoever they ranked next. This panel shows how each eliminated candidate's votes distributed — to the winner, to other remaining candidates, or exhausted (no further choices ranked). Cards are ordered by votes that went to the winner, highest first. Note: "Exhausted" means those voters had no more ranked candidates still in the race — their ballots stopped counting at that point.
Clarisa M. Alayeto Eliminated R5 3,114 votes redistributed
Exhausted 1,437 (46.1%)
Elsie Encarnacion 1,083 (34.8%)
Wilfredo Lopez 594 (19.1%)
Raymond Santana Eliminated R4 2,525 votes redistributed
Exhausted 955 (37.8%)
Wilfredo Lopez 787 (31.2%)
Elsie Encarnacion 459 (18.2%)
Clarisa M. Alayeto 324 (12.8%)
Rosa G. Diaz Eliminated R3 1,828 votes redistributed
Exhausted 665 (36.4%)
Elsie Encarnacion 441 (24.1%)
Clarisa M. Alayeto 274 (15.0%)
Raymond Santana 234 (12.8%)
Wilfredo Lopez 214 (11.7%)
Nicholas A. Reyes Eliminated R1 1,103 votes redistributed
Exhausted 451 (40.9%)
Elsie Encarnacion 162 (14.7%)
Rosa G. Diaz 121 (11.0%)
Wilfredo Lopez 115 (10.4%)
Raymond Santana 109 (9.9%)
Clarisa M. Alayeto 85 (7.7%)
Federico Colon 60 (5.4%)
Federico Colon Eliminated R2 1,382 votes redistributed
Exhausted 634 (45.9%)
Raymond Santana 365 (26.4%)
Wilfredo Lopez 152 (11.0%)
Rosa G. Diaz 125 (9.0%)
Clarisa M. Alayeto 53 (3.8%)
Elsie Encarnacion 53 (3.8%)

Transfer Loyalty Matrix

Each cell shows what share of an eliminated candidate's votes transferred to each remaining candidate. Read across a row to see how that candidate's supporters split their next rankings. ≥50% loyalty   25–49%   <25%   Exhausted
Eliminated →
Received ↓
Encarnacion Lopez Exhausted
Reyes R1 14.7% 10.4% 40.9%
Colon R2 3.8% 11.0% 45.9%
Diaz R3 24.1% 11.7% 36.4%
Santana R4 18.2% 31.2% 37.8%
Alayeto R5 34.8% 19.1% 46.1%

Candidate Summary

Candidate First Choice Votes at Elimination / Final Transfer Gain / Loss ⓘ Eliminated
Elsie Encarnacion ✓ Winner 4,511 6,709 +2,198
Wilfredo Lopez 2,879 4,741 +1,862
Clarisa M. Alayeto 2,378 3,114 +736 Round 5
Raymond Santana 1,817 2,525 +708 Round 4
Rosa G. Diaz 1,582 1,828 +246 Round 3
Federico Colon 1,322 1,382 +60 Round 2
Nicholas A. Reyes 1,103 1,103 0 Round 1

How Many Candidates Did Voters Choose to Rank?

NYC primary voters may rank up to 5 candidates in order of preference — but they are not required to. This chart shows how many candidates each voter chose to rank (1 = ranked only their top choice; 5 = used all available rankings). Voters who ranked only one candidate are more likely to exhaust — their ballot stops counting once that candidate is eliminated.
Ranked 1 6,579 (42.2%)
Ranked 2 1,725 (11.1%)
Ranked 3 1,687 (10.8%)
Ranked 4 831 (5.3%)
Ranked 5 4,770 (30.6%)