General Elections NYC Primary RCV RCV Analytics
Ballots in Contest
7,809
Elimination Rounds
3
Exhausted Ballots
1,928 (24.7% of contest ballots)
Winner
Shanel Thomas-Henry
Final Round Share
53.1% of active
Margin of Victory
369 (6.3pts of active)
Shanel Thomas-Henry led from the start with 30.9% of first-choice votes and held on through 3 rounds of elimination. The final margin was 369 votes (6.3 pts of active ballots), while 1,928 exhausted ballots (24.7%) exceeded that margin — meaning those voters' preferences could in theory have influenced the outcome.
Notable: 1,928 ballots exhausted before the final round — more than the winner's final-round margin of 369 votes. This means exhausted voters' preferences, had they ranked additional candidates, could in theory have been enough to affect the outcome — though only if they had ranked in ways that changed the transfers.
How to read this: Ranked Choice Voting eliminates the last-place candidate each round, transferring their ballots to each voter's next ranked choice still in the race. Ballots in contest = voters who ranked at least one candidate here. Active votes = ballots still assigned to a remaining candidate in a given round. Exhausted ballots = ballots where all ranked choices have been eliminated. Vote counts shown in each round reflect votes before that round's elimination. Ties broken alphabetically by candidate ID (NYC BOE uses random draw; ties are rare at scale).

First-Choice Votes

Candidate First-Choice Votes Share of Contest Ballots Result
Shanel Thomas-Henry 2,416 30.9% Won
Erycka Montoya 2,021 25.9%
Yanna M. Henriquez 1,804 23.1% Elim. R2
David Aiken 1,568 20.1% Elim. R1

Vote Share — First Choice vs. Final Round

Solid lines = candidates who reached the final round (left dot = Round 1 share, right dot = final-round share). Dashed lines = candidates eliminated before the final round (line ends at elimination, not final round).

Round-by-Round Results

Each bar shows how many active votes each candidate holds going into that round. Step through rounds or press Play to watch candidates gain and lose votes as the race unfolds.

Round 1
Round 1 Eliminated: David Aiken 7,809 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Shanel Thomas-Henry 2,416 30.9%
Erycka Montoya 2,021 25.9%
Yanna M. Henriquez 1,804 23.1%
David Aiken 1,568 20.1% Exhausted: 823 · Shanel Thomas-Henry: 414 · Erycka Montoya: 187 · Yanna M. Henriquez: 144
Round 2 Eliminated: Yanna M. Henriquez 6,986 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active Transfers Out
Shanel Thomas-Henry 2,830 40.5%
Erycka Montoya 2,208 31.6%
Yanna M. Henriquez 1,948 27.9% Exhausted: 1,105 · Erycka Montoya: 548 · Shanel Thomas-Henry: 295
Round 3 Final 5,881 active votes
Candidate Votes (before elimination) Share of Active
Shanel Thomas-Henry 3,125 53.1%
Erycka Montoya 2,756 46.9%

Where Did Eliminated Candidates' Votes Go?

When a candidate is eliminated, their supporters' ballots transfer to whoever they ranked next. This panel shows how each eliminated candidate's votes distributed — to the winner, to other remaining candidates, or exhausted (no further choices ranked). Cards are ordered by votes that went to the winner, highest first. Note: "Exhausted" means those voters had no more ranked candidates still in the race — their ballots stopped counting at that point.
David Aiken Eliminated R1 1,568 votes redistributed
Exhausted 823 (52.5%)
Shanel Thomas-Henry 414 (26.4%)
Erycka Montoya 187 (11.9%)
Yanna M. Henriquez 144 (9.2%)
Yanna M. Henriquez Eliminated R2 1,948 votes redistributed
Exhausted 1,105 (56.7%)
Erycka Montoya 548 (28.1%)
Shanel Thomas-Henry 295 (15.1%)

Transfer Loyalty Matrix

Each cell shows what share of an eliminated candidate's votes transferred to each remaining candidate. Read across a row to see how that candidate's supporters split their next rankings. ≥50% loyalty   25–49%   <25%   Exhausted
Eliminated →
Received ↓
Thomas-Henry Montoya Exhausted
Aiken R1 26.4% 11.9% 52.5%
Henriquez R2 15.1% 28.1% 56.7%

Candidate Summary

Candidate First Choice Votes at Elimination / Final Transfer Gain / Loss ⓘ Eliminated
Shanel Thomas-Henry ✓ Winner 2,416 3,125 +709
Erycka Montoya 2,021 2,756 +735
Yanna M. Henriquez 1,804 1,948 +144 Round 2
David Aiken 1,568 1,568 0 Round 1

How Many Candidates Did Voters Choose to Rank?

NYC primary voters may rank up to 5 candidates in order of preference — but they are not required to. This chart shows how many candidates each voter chose to rank (1 = ranked only their top choice; 5 = used all available rankings). Voters who ranked only one candidate are more likely to exhaust — their ballot stops counting once that candidate is eliminated.
Ranked 1 3,602 (46.1%)
Ranked 2 1,084 (13.9%)
Ranked 3 634 (8.1%)
Ranked 4 2,325 (29.8%)
Ranked 5 164 (2.1%)