Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+39
Registered Voters
183,428
Enrolled D / R
55.2% / 15.8%
D Overperformance
+15.4 pts
Turnout (2024)
56.4%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +15.4pts vs. D+39 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 8.8% margin 56.4% turnout D share: 54.4%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Toby Ann Stavisky D 56,263 Democratic: 52,998 · Working Families: 3,265 54.4%
Yiatin Chu R 47,208 Republican: 43,525 · Conservative: 3,683 45.6%
Total 103,471 of 183,428 registered (56.4% turnout)
2022 General 13.5% margin 37.0% turnout D share: 56.7%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Toby Ann Stavisky D 38,524 Democratic: 36,014 · Working Families: 2,510 56.7%
Stefano Forte R 29,378 Republican: 27,142 · Conservative: 2,236 43.3%
Total 67,902 of 183,428 registered (37.0% turnout)