Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+29
Registered Voters
175,474
Enrolled D / R
49.8% / 20.7%
D Overperformance
+26.2 pts
Turnout (2024)
49.3%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +26.2pts vs. D+29 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 10.5% margin 49.3% turnout D share: 55.2%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jessica Scarcella-Spanton D 47,737 Democratic: 47,737 55.2%
Marko Kepi R 38,701 Republican: 38,701 44.8%
Total 86,438 of 175,474 registered (49.3% turnout)
2022 General 1.8% margin 33.1% turnout D share: 50.9%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jessica Scarcella-Spanton D 29,550 Democratic: 29,550 50.9%
Joseph L. Tirone, Jr. R 28,501 Republican: 26,799 · Conservative: 1,702 49.1%
Total 58,051 of 175,474 registered (33.1% turnout)