Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+60
Registered Voters
194,341
Enrolled D / R
68.3% / 7.8%
D Overperformance
+40.0 pts
Turnout (2024)
45.4%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +40.0pts vs. D+60 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General Uncontested 45.4% turnout D share: 100.0%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Brian Kavanagh D 88,217 Democratic: 79,048 · Working Families: 9,169 100.0%
Total 88,217 of 194,341 registered (45.4% turnout)
2022 General 91.8% margin 33.7% turnout D share: 95.9%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Brian Kavanagh D 62,906 Democratic: 62,906 95.9%
Eric J. Rassi Med 2,684 Medical: 2,684 4.1%
Total 65,590 of 194,341 registered (33.7% turnout)