Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+67
Registered Voters
178,342
Enrolled D / R
72.8% / 6.0%
D Overperformance
+14.9 pts
Turnout (2024)
45.0%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +14.9pts vs. D+67 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 63.7% margin 45.0% turnout D share: 81.9%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jose M. Serrano D 65,717 Democratic: 60,984 · Working Families: 4,733 81.9%
Tanya Carmichael R 14,556 Republican: 13,242 · Conservative: 1,314 18.1%
Total 80,273 of 178,342 registered (45.0% turnout)
2022 General Uncontested 22.7% turnout D share: 100.0%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jose M. Serrano D 40,546 Democratic: 37,770 · Working Families: 2,776 100.0%
Total 40,546 of 178,342 registered (22.7% turnout)