Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+51
Registered Voters
172,288
Enrolled D / R
63.1% / 12.1%
D Overperformance
+16.6 pts
Turnout (2024)
50.1%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +16.6pts vs. D+51 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 35.3% margin 50.1% turnout D share: 67.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Nathalia Fernandez D 58,327 Democratic: 58,327 67.6%
Edwinna Herrera R 27,908 Republican: 25,395 · Conservative: 2,513 32.4%
Total 86,235 of 172,288 registered (50.1% turnout)
2022 General 30.4% margin 30.6% turnout D share: 65.2%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Nathalia Fernandez D 34,378 Democratic: 34,378 65.2%
Samantha Zherka R 18,335 Republican: 17,101 · Conservative: 1,234 34.8%
Total 52,713 of 172,288 registered (30.6% turnout)