Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+67
Registered Voters
173,908
Enrolled D / R
73.3% / 6.1%
D Overperformance
+24.6 pts
Turnout (2024)
48.7%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +24.6pts vs. D+67 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 83.3% margin 48.7% turnout D share: 91.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jamaal T. Bailey D 77,594 Democratic: 77,594 91.6%
Irene Estrada R 7,086 Conservative: 7,086 8.4%
Total 84,680 of 173,908 registered (48.7% turnout)
2022 General Uncontested 28.5% turnout D share: 100.0%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Jamaal T. Bailey D 49,613 Democratic: 49,613 100.0%
Total 49,613 of 173,908 registered (28.5% turnout)