Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+10
Registered Voters
215,222
Enrolled D / R
37.5% / 27.4%
D Overperformance
+39.3 pts
Turnout (2024)
69.3%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +39.3pts vs. D+10 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 1.4% margin 69.3% turnout D share: 49.3%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Rob Rolison R 75,594 Republican: 67,312 · Conservative: 8,282 50.7%
Yvette Valdes Smith D 73,520 Democratic: 67,756 · Working Families: 5,764 49.3%
Total 149,114 of 215,222 registered (69.3% turnout)
2022 General 6.2% margin 50.9% turnout D share: 46.9%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Rob Rolison R 58,132 Republican: 58,132 53.1%
Julie Shiroishi D 51,394 Democratic: 46,920 · Working Families: 4,474 46.9%
Total 109,526 of 215,222 registered (50.9% turnout)