Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+5
Registered Voters
201,900
Enrolled D / R
35.3% / 30.8%
D Overperformance
+49.5 pts
Turnout (2024)
66.7%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +49.5pts vs. D+5 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 14.0% margin 66.7% turnout D share: 54.5%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
James G. Skoufis D 73,420 Democratic: 68,764 · Working Families: 4,656 54.5%
Dorey F. Houle R 54,614 Republican: 54,614 40.5%
Timothy Mitts R 6,694 Conservative: 6,694 5.0%
Total 134,728 of 201,900 registered (66.7% turnout)
2022 General 1.5% margin 48.6% turnout D share: 50.7%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
James G. Skoufis D 49,728 Democratic: 46,686 · Working Families: 3,042 50.7%
Dorey Houle R 48,296 Republican: 43,292 · Conservative: 5,004 49.3%
Total 98,024 of 201,900 registered (48.6% turnout)