Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
D+10
Registered Voters
199,494
Enrolled D / R
37.7% / 27.4%
D Overperformance
+48.5 pts
Turnout (2024)
67.6%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +48.5pts vs. D+10 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 16.9% margin 67.6% turnout D share: 58.5%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Rachel May D 78,782 Democratic: 71,227 · Working Families: 7,555 58.5%
Caleb C. Slater R 55,980 Republican: 55,980 41.5%
Total 134,762 of 199,494 registered (67.6% turnout)
2022 General 7.7% margin 50.5% turnout D share: 50.3%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Rachel May D 50,668 Democratic: 46,968 · Working Families: 3,700 50.3%
Julie Abbott R 42,894 Republican: 42,894 42.6%
Justin M. Coretti R 7,217 Conservative: 7,217 7.2%
Total 100,779 of 199,494 registered (50.5% turnout)