Hub State Senate Swing Analysis
Partisan Lean
R+8
Registered Voters
216,214
Enrolled D / R
29.9% / 37.5%
D Overperformance
+48.6 pts
Turnout (2024)
71.1%
Results shown are certified NYSBOE General and Special elections under current (post-2022) district boundaries. Overperformance = Democratic vote share minus partisan lean (D +48.6pts vs. R+8 registration). NY fusion voting: per-line vote totals are shown where available.
2024 General 18.7% margin 71.1% turnout D share: 40.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Peter Oberacker R 91,282 Republican: 81,783 · Conservative: 9,499 59.4%
Michele Frazier D 62,485 Democratic: 55,620 · Working Families: 6,865 40.6%
Total 153,767 of 216,214 registered (71.1% turnout)
2022 General 24.8% margin 55.2% turnout D share: 37.6%
Candidate Votes Party Lines Share
Peter K. Oberacker R 74,508 Republican: 66,557 · Conservative: 7,951 62.4%
Eric Ball D 44,938 Democratic: 44,938 37.6%
Total 119,446 of 216,214 registered (55.2% turnout)