Dashboard Rankings Map Leaderboards
2026 national environment:
SD Senator Party Leadership Vulnerability Index Base Lean Lobbying Bills Signed Flags
1 Anthony H. Palumbo R Deputy Floor Leader Toss-up R+4 6,896 (2026) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
2 Mario Mattera R Lean R R+11 13,114 (2026) 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
3 Dean Murray R Likely R R+17 5,194 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
4 Monica Martinez D Liaison to the Executive Branch Safe D D+16 22,319 (2026) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
5 Steve Rhoads R Lean R R+15 5,036 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
6 Siela Bynoe D Safe D D+24 21,010 (2025) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
7 Jack M. Martins R Lean D R+2 6,860 (2026) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
8 Alexis Weik R Secretary of the Minority Conference Safe R R+29 2,059 (2025) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
9 Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick R Vice Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Toss-up R+9 3,386 (2025) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
10 James Sanders Jr. D Safe D D+65 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
11 Toby Ann Stavisky D Vice President Pro Tempore Safe D D+26 13,240 (2026) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
12 Michael Gianaris D Deputy Majority Leader Safe D D+44 20,398 (2026) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
13 Jessica Ramos D Safe D D+63 73,347 (2026) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
14 Leroy Comrie D Majority Whip Safe D D+72 19,019 (2026) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
15 Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. D Majority Deputy Whip Safe D D+27 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
16 John Liu D Majority Conference Vice-Chair Safe D D+28 13,014 (2026) 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
17 Stephen T. Chan R Safe D D+16 990 (2025) 0 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
18 Julia Salazar D Deputy Majority Leader for Senate and Assembly Relations Safe D D+78 14,664 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
19 Roxanne J. Persaud D Majority Conference Secretary Safe D D+78 16,132 (2026) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
20 Zellnor Myrie D Safe D D+83 14,362 (2026) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
21 Kevin S. Parker D Senior Assistant Majority Leader Safe D D+72 30,115 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
22 Sam Sutton D Safe D D+35 6,210 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
23 Jessica Scarcella-Spanton D Safe D D+18 13,419 (2026) 4 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
24 Andrew J. Lanza R Deputy Minority Leader and Floor Leader Lean R R+9 3,524 (2024) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
25 Jabari Brisport D Safe D D+85 9,128 (2026) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
26 Andrew Gounardes D Chair of Majority Program Development Committee Safe D D+67 10,664 (2026) 12 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
27 Brian Kavanagh D Safe D D+70 12,832 (2026) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
28 Liz Krueger D Chair of the Senate Finance Committee Safe D D+59 25,776 (2026) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
29 José M. Serrano D Chair of the Majority Conference Safe D D+76 13,898 (2026) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
30 Cordell Cleare D Safe D D+83 10,111 (2026) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
31 Robert Jackson D Safe D D+76 20,311 (2026) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
32 Luis R. Sepúlveda D Safe D D+75 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
33 Gustavo Rivera D Assistant Majority Leader on Conference Operations Safe D D+69 21,441 (2026) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
34 Nathalia Fernandez D Safe D D+43 12,336 (2026) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
35 Andrea Stewart-Cousins D President Pro Tempore and Majority Leader Safe D D+36 40,952 (2026) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
36 Jamaal Bailey D Assistant Majority Leader on House Operations Safe D D+76 15,044 (2026) 10 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
37 Shelley Mayer D Majority Assistant Whip Safe D D+26 37,279 (2026) 15 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
38 William Weber R Likely D D+6 5,735 (2023) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
39 Robert Rolison R Lean D D+3 5,820 (2023) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
40 Pete Harckham D Likely D D+10 35,537 (2026) 18 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
41 Michelle Hinchey D Likely D D+13 24,035 (2026) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
42 James Skoufis D Deputy Majority Leader for State Federal Relations Likely D D+7 29,874 (2026) 14 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
43 Jake Ashby R Lean D R+0 10,051 (2026) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
44 James Tedisco R Toss-up R+8 8,734 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
45 Dan Stec R Likely R R+15 23,784 (2026) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
46 Patricia Fahy D Safe D D+18 46,636 (2026) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
47 Erik Bottcher D Safe D D+74 806 (2026) 0 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
48 Rachel May D Chair of the Majority Steering Committee Likely D D+13 31,373 (2026) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
49 Mark Walczyk R Safe R R+32 5,300 (2026) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
50 Christopher Ryan D Lean D R+1 14,468 (2026) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
51 Peter Oberacker R Likely R R+17 6,265 (2026) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
52 Lea Webb D Likely D D+12 19,717 (2026) 9 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
53 Joseph A. Griffo R Assistant Minority Leader Lean R R+15 3,881 (2026) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
54 Pamela Helming R Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Likely R R+25 28,168 (2026) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
55 Samra Brouk D Safe D D+22 20,329 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
56 Jeremy Cooney D Safe D D+19 27,421 (2026) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
57 George Borrello R Likely R R+23 8,110 (2026) 10 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
58 Thomas F. O'Mara R Ranking Member of the Finance Committee Safe R R+25 7,311 (2026) 12 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
59 Kristen Gonzalez D Safe D D+69 18,238 (2026) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
60 Patrick M. Gallivan R Minority Whip Toss-up R+3 12,262 (2026) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
61 Jeremy Zellner D Safe D D+21 1,014 (2026) 0 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
62 Robert Ortt R Minority Leader Lean R R+9 15,574 (2026) 6 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
63 April Baskin D Safe D D+32 12,535 (2026) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history

Vulnerability Index is a heuristic index, not an election forecast. Scores blend district registration lean (40%) and recent contested election margins (60%). Thresholds: Safe D ≥+20 · Likely D +10–19 · Lean D +4–9 · Toss-up ±3 · Lean R −4 to −9 · Likely R −10 to −19 · Safe R ≤−20. Current applies the Silver Bulletin generic ballot (7/22/2026: D+5.9) as a uniform national shift — district-level response may vary. D+5 / R+5 are fixed ±5pt hypothetical scenarios. Lobbying = NY Ethics Commission records directed at this senator; counts reflect bi-monthly disclosure filings — not individual meetings. Peak year shown in parentheses. Bills Signed = Senate bills this senator sponsored that the Governor signed into law, 2025–2026 session. Flags indicate model caveats: Recently competitive = margin <10pts in a recent cycle; Uncontested in N of last M cycles = opposition quality unknown, registration lean weighted higher; District redrawn after 2020 Census = limited same-boundary history, treat model score with caution.