Dashboard Rankings Map Leaderboards
2026 national environment:
SD Senator Party Leadership Vulnerability Index Base Lean Lobbying Bills Signed Flags
1 Anthony H. Palumbo R Deputy Floor Leader Toss-up R+4 2,772 (2025) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
2 Mario Mattera R Lean R R+11 3,451 (2025) 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
3 Dean Murray R Likely R R+17 2,019 (2024) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
4 Monica Martinez D Liaison to the Executive Branch Safe D D+16 7,525 (2025) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
5 Steve Rhoads R Lean R R+15 2,147 (2025) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
6 Siela Bynoe D Safe D D+24 21,010 (2025) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
7 Jack M. Martins R Lean D R+2 4,217 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
8 Alexis Weik R Secretary of the Minority Conference Safe R R+29 2,059 (2025) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
9 Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick R Vice Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Toss-up R+9 3,386 (2025) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
10 James Sanders Jr. D Safe D D+65 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
11 Toby Ann Stavisky D Vice President Pro Tempore Safe D D+26 6,347 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
12 Michael Gianaris D Deputy Majority Leader Safe D D+44 4,802 (2025) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
13 Jessica Ramos D Safe D D+63 3,650 (2023) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
14 Leroy Comrie D Majority Whip Safe D D+72 2,946 (2024) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
15 Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. D Majority Deputy Whip Safe D D+27 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
16 John Liu D Majority Conference Vice-Chair Safe D D+28 3,331 (2025) 2 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
17 Stephen T. Chan R Safe D D+16 990 (2025) 0 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
18 Julia Salazar D Deputy Majority Leader for Senate and Assembly Relations Safe D D+78 3,749 (2025) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
19 Roxanne J. Persaud D Majority Conference Secretary Safe D D+78 3,603 (2023) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
20 Zellnor Myrie D Safe D D+83 3,370 (2023) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
21 Kevin S. Parker D Senior Assistant Majority Leader Safe D D+72 1,967 (2024) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
22 Sam Sutton D Safe D D+35 110 (2025) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
23 Jessica Scarcella-Spanton D Safe D D+18 5,439 (2025) 4 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
24 Andrew J. Lanza R Deputy Minority Leader and Floor Leader Toss-up R+9 3,524 (2024) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
25 Jabari Brisport D Safe D D+85 6,038 (2023) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
26 Andrew Gounardes D Chair of Majority Program Development Committee Safe D D+67 2,957 (2025) 12 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
27 Brian Kavanagh D Safe D D+70 8,552 (2025) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
28 Liz Krueger D Chair of the Senate Finance Committee Safe D D+59 10,636 (2024) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
29 José M. Serrano D Chair of the Majority Conference Safe D D+76 3,642 (2025) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
30 Cordell Cleare D Safe D D+83 10,058 (2025) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
31 Robert Jackson D Safe D D+76 6,574 (2025) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
32 Luis R. Sepúlveda D Safe D D+75 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
33 Gustavo Rivera D Assistant Majority Leader on Conference Operations Safe D D+69 5,895 (2025) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
34 Nathalia Fernandez D Safe D D+43 2,783 (2025) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
35 Andrea Stewart-Cousins D President Pro Tempore and Majority Leader Safe D D+36 25,578 (2025) 5 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
36 Jamaal Bailey D Assistant Majority Leader on House Operations Safe D D+76 7,999 (2025) 10 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
37 Shelley Mayer D Majority Assistant Whip Safe D D+26 10,509 (2025) 15 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
38 William Weber R Likely D D+6 5,735 (2023) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
39 Robert Rolison R Lean D D+3 5,820 (2023) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
40 Pete Harckham D Likely D D+10 14,441 (2025) 18 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
41 Michelle Hinchey D Likely D D+13 6,193 (2023) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
42 James Skoufis D Deputy Majority Leader for State Federal Relations Likely D D+7 8,973 (2025) 14 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
43 Jake Ashby R Lean D R+0 580 (2024) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
44 James Tedisco R Toss-up R+8 710 (2025) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
45 Dan Stec R Lean R R+15 586 (2024) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
46 Patricia Fahy D Safe D D+18 16,708 (2025) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
47 Erik Bottcher D Safe D D+74 0 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
48 Rachel May D Chair of the Majority Steering Committee Likely D D+13 13,520 (2025) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
49 Mark Walczyk R Safe R R+32 454 (2023) 8 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
50 Christopher Ryan D Lean D R+1 6,118 (2025) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
51 Peter Oberacker R Likely R R+17 980 (2025) 9 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
52 Lea Webb D Likely D D+12 3,922 (2023) 9 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
53 Joseph A. Griffo R Assistant Minority Leader Lean R R+15 303 (2025) 4 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
54 Pamela Helming R Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Likely R R+25 1,761 (2025) 7 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
55 Samra Brouk D Safe D D+22 9,826 (2025) 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
56 Jeremy Cooney D Safe D D+19 9,847 (2025) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
57 George Borrello R Likely R R+23 600 (2024) 10 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
58 Thomas F. O'Mara R Ranking Member of the Finance Committee Likely R R+25 1,654 (2025) 12 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
59 Kristen Gonzalez D Safe D D+69 2,932 (2025) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
60 Patrick M. Gallivan R Minority Whip Toss-up R+3 3,387 (2024) 3 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
61 Jeremy Zellner D Safe D D+21 0 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
62 Robert Ortt R Minority Leader Toss-up R+9 6,865 (2025) 6 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history
63 April Baskin D Safe D D+32 1 District redrawn after 2020 Census — limited same-boundary history

Vulnerability Index is a heuristic index, not an election forecast. Scores blend district registration lean (40%) and recent contested election margins (60%). Thresholds: Safe D ≥+20 · Likely D +10–19 · Lean D +4–9 · Toss-up ±3 · Lean R −4 to −9 · Likely R −10 to −19 · Safe R ≤−20. Current applies the Silver Bulletin generic ballot (5/20/2026: D+6.6) as a uniform national shift — district-level response may vary. D+5 / R+5 are fixed ±5pt hypothetical scenarios. Lobbying = NY Ethics Commission records directed at this senator; counts reflect bi-monthly disclosure filings — not individual meetings. Peak year shown in parentheses. Bills Signed = Senate bills this senator sponsored that the Governor signed into law, 2025–2026 session. Flags indicate model caveats: Recently competitive = margin <10pts in a recent cycle; Uncontested in N of last M cycles = opposition quality unknown, registration lean weighted higher; District redrawn after 2020 Census = limited same-boundary history, treat model score with caution.