Dashboard Rankings Map
2026 national environment:
SD Senator Party Leadership Vulnerability Index Base Lean Lobbying Bills Signed Flags
1 Anthony H. Palumbo R Deputy Floor Leader Toss-up R+4 2,772 (2025) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
2 Mario Mattera R Lean R R+10 3,451 (2025) 2 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
3 Dean Murray R Lean R R+9 2,019 (2024) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
4 Monica Martinez D Liaison to the Executive Branch Likely D D+11 7,525 (2025) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
5 Steve Rhoads R Toss-up R+6 2,147 (2025) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
6 Siela Bynoe D Safe D D+19 21,010 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
7 Jack M. Martins R Lean D D+4 4,217 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
8 Alexis Weik R Secretary of the Minority Conference Likely R R+20 2,059 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
9 Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick R Vice Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Lean D D+4 3,386 (2025) 5
10 James Sanders Jr. D Safe D D+65 2 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
11 Toby Ann Stavisky D Vice President Pro Tempore Safe D D+31 6,347 (2025) 3 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
12 Michael Gianaris D Deputy Majority Leader Safe D D+44 4,802 (2025) 8
13 Jessica Ramos D Safe D D+63 3,650 (2023) 8
14 Leroy Comrie D Majority Whip Safe D D+72 2,946 (2024) 4 Uncontested in 4 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
15 Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. D Majority Deputy Whip Safe D D+30 7
16 John Liu D Majority Conference Vice-Chair Safe D D+28 3,331 (2025) 2
17 Stephen T. Chan R Safe D D+16 990 (2025) 0 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
18 Julia Salazar D Deputy Majority Leader for Senate and Assembly Relations Safe D D+78 3,749 (2025) 1 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
19 Roxanne J. Persaud D Majority Conference Secretary Safe D D+78 3,603 (2023) 7 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
20 Zellnor Myrie D Safe D D+83 3,370 (2023) 3
21 Kevin S. Parker D Senior Assistant Majority Leader Safe D D+72 1,967 (2024) 1
22 Sam Sutton D Safe D D+16 110 (2025) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
23 Jessica Scarcella-Spanton D Safe D D+18 5,439 (2025) 4 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
24 Andrew J. Lanza R Deputy Minority Leader and Floor Leader Lean R R+9 3,524 (2024) 1 Uncontested in 4 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
25 Jabari Brisport D Safe D D+85 6,038 (2023) 3 Uncontested in 4 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
26 Andrew Gounardes D Chair of Majority Program Development Committee Safe D D+67 2,957 (2025) 12
27 Brian Kavanagh D Safe D D+70 8,552 (2025) 8 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
28 Liz Krueger D Chair of the Senate Finance Committee Safe D D+59 10,636 (2024) 9
29 José M. Serrano D Chair of the Majority Conference Safe D D+76 3,642 (2025) 5
30 Cordell Cleare D Safe D D+83 10,058 (2025) 7 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
31 Robert Jackson D Safe D D+76 6,574 (2025) 9
32 Luis R. Sepúlveda D Safe D D+75 4
33 Gustavo Rivera D Assistant Majority Leader on Conference Operations Safe D D+69 5,895 (2025) 4
34 Nathalia Fernandez D Safe D D+43 2,783 (2025) 4
35 Andrea Stewart-Cousins D President Pro Tempore and Majority Leader Safe D D+36 25,578 (2025) 5
36 Jamaal Bailey D Assistant Majority Leader on House Operations Safe D D+76 7,999 (2025) 10
37 Shelley Mayer D Majority Assistant Whip Safe D D+27 10,509 (2025) 15
38 William Weber R Likely D D+14 5,735 (2023) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
39 Robert Rolison R Likely D D+7 5,820 (2023) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
40 Pete Harckham D Likely D D+9 14,441 (2025) 18 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
41 Michelle Hinchey D Likely D D+9 6,193 (2023) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
42 James Skoufis D Deputy Majority Leader for State Federal Relations Likely D D+5 8,973 (2025) 14 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
43 Jake Ashby R Lean D D+0 580 (2024) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
44 James Tedisco R Toss-up R+8 710 (2025) 1
45 Dan Stec R Likely R R+16 586 (2024) 4
46 Patricia Fahy D Likely D D+13 16,708 (2025) 8 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
47 Erik Bottcher D Safe D D+74 0
48 Rachel May D Chair of the Majority Steering Committee Likely D D+13 13,520 (2025) 12 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
49 Mark Walczyk R Safe R R+26 454 (2023) 8
50 Christopher Ryan D Lean D R+0 6,118 (2025) 6 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
51 Peter Oberacker R Likely R R+16 980 (2025) 9
52 Lea Webb D Likely D D+12 3,922 (2023) 9 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
53 Joseph A. Griffo R Assistant Minority Leader Lean D D+2 303 (2025) 4
54 Pamela Helming R Chair of the Senate Minority Conference Likely R R+23 1,761 (2025) 7
55 Samra Brouk D Safe D D+17 9,826 (2025) 1 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
56 Jeremy Cooney D Safe D D+15 9,847 (2025) 5 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
57 George Borrello R Likely R R+23 600 (2024) 10
58 Thomas F. O'Mara R Ranking Member of the Finance Committee Likely R R+20 1,654 (2025) 12
59 Kristen Gonzalez D Likely D D+7 2,932 (2025) 3
60 Patrick M. Gallivan R Minority Whip Lean D D+2 3,387 (2024) 3
61 Jeremy Zellner D Likely D D+13 0 Recently competitive (margin < 10pts)
62 Robert Ortt R Minority Leader Lean R R+9 6,865 (2025) 6 Uncontested in 3 of last 4 cycles — opposition quality unknown
63 April Baskin D Safe D D+32 1

Vulnerability Index is a heuristic index, not an election forecast. Scores blend district registration lean (40%) and recent contested election margins (60%). Thresholds: Safe D ≥+20 · Likely D +10–19 · Lean D +4–9 · Toss-up ±3 · Lean R −4 to −9 · Likely R −10 to −19 · Safe R ≤−20. Current applies the Silver Bulletin generic ballot (4/4/2026: D+5.5) as a uniform national shift — district-level response may vary. D+5 / R+5 are fixed ±5pt hypothetical scenarios. Lobbying = NY Ethics Commission records directed at this senator; counts reflect bi-monthly disclosure filings — not individual meetings. Peak year shown in parentheses. Bills Signed = Senate bills this senator sponsored that the Governor signed into law, 2025–2026 session.